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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wigan Athletic win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.21%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 (7.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 29.11% ( | 25.31% ( | 45.57% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.74% ( | 49.25% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.69% ( | 71.31% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.04% ( | 30.96% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.74% ( | 67.26% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.38% ( | 21.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.28% ( | 54.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 7.85% ( 2-1 @ 7.05% ( 2-0 @ 4.6% 3-1 @ 2.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.11% ( 3-0 @ 1.8% ( Other @ 2.96% Total : 29.11% | 1-1 @ 12.01% ( 0-0 @ 6.69% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.08% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 10.24% ( 1-2 @ 9.21% 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.7% ( 0-3 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 2.76% ( 1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0-4 @ 1.54% 2-4 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.41% Total : 45.56% |