Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 48.73%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 24.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.61%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Bristol Rovers win it was 0-1 (8.7%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.