League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

LNER Stadium

Lincoln
6 - 0
Cambridge

Moylan (3', 25'), Taylor (48', 74'), Eyoma (85'), Duffy (86')
Duffy (90+1'), Taylor (90+7')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Andrew (80'), Brophy (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Cambridge United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Cambridge 1-1 Northampton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 52.57%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 21.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.71%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.14%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Lincoln City	Draw	Cambridge United
52.57% ( 0.04)	26.11% ( -0.03)	21.32% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.64% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.91% (

0.09)

58.08% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.24% (

0.07)

78.75% (

-0.07)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.79% (

0.06)

22.21% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.37% (

0.08)

55.63% (

-0.08)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

57.38% (

0.04)

42.62% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.03% (

0.04)

78.96% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Lincoln City 52.56%

Cambridge United 21.32%

Draw 26.11%

Lincoln City	Draw	Cambridge United
1-0 @ 14.24% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 10.71% 2-1 @ 9.14% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.58% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 52.56%	1-1 @ 12.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 9.47% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 3.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 26.11%	0-1 @ 8.07% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 5.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.11% ( 0) 0-3 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.06% Total : 21.32%