League One Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Elias Kachunga 16' goal
  • Paul Digby 81' yellowcard
  • goal Jon Guthrie 82'
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 82'

Cambridge United vs Northampton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
Bolton 2 - 0 Cambridge
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gassan Ahadme

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 5, 2024 7.45pm
Peterborough 5 - 1 Northampton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Cambridge United 47.71% (+0.85)
Draw 24.97% (-0.21)
Northampton Town 27.32% (-0.64)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.96% (+0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.12% (+0.46)
Under 2.5 48.88% (-0.46)
Over 3.5 29.02% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 70.98% (-0.41)
Over 4.5 14% (+0.28)
Under 4.5 86% (-0.28)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5 79.47% (+0.56)
Under 0.5 20.53% (-0.55)
Over 1.5 46.97% (+0.87)
Under 1.5 53.03% (-0.87)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 67.89% (-0.25)
Under 0.5 32.11% (+0.26)
Over 1.5 31.42% (-0.29)
Under 1.5 68.58% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Cambridge United 47.7%
Draw 24.97%
Northampton Town 27.32%
Cambridge United
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (+0.08)
2-0 @ 8.26% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 4.96% (+0.13)
3-0 @ 4.36% (+0.14)
3-2 @ 2.82% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 1.96% (+0.09)
4-0 @ 1.73% (+0.09)
4-2 @ 1.11% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.10)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.13)
2-2 @ 5.33% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.97%
Northampton Town
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.20)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.11)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.14)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.07)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.32%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 19
Nov 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Shaun McWilliams 42' yellowcard
  • Kieron Bowie 49' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 55' goal
  • yellowcard James Brophy 39'
  • goal Gassan Ahadme 77'
  • yellowcard Paul Digby 79'
  • redcard Paul Digby 80'
  • yellowcard Danny Andrew 90'
EFL Trophy
Sep 20, 2022 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 68'
  • goal Fejiri Okenabirhie 77'
FA Cup
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Abbey Stadium
  • Harvey Knibbs 13' goal
  • Sam Smith 40' goal
  • Ben Worman 48' goal
  • goal Danny Rose 75'
  • yellowcard Aaron McGowan 82'
FA Cup
Nov 6, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
  • Kion Etete 6' goal
  • Fraser Horsfall 12' yellowcard
  • Paul Lewis 35' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 87' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Smith 14'
  • yellowcard Sam Smith 63'
  • goal Conor Masterson 66'
League Two Gameweek 40
Mar 21, 2020 3.00pm
Abbey Stadium
League Two Gameweek 16
Oct 26, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Harry Smith 26' goal
  • George Taft 45' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 45' yellowcard
  • Alan McCormack 51' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Reggie Lambe 45'