League One

League One | Gameweek 37

Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK

Abbey Stadium

Cambridge
1 - 1
Northampton

Kachunga (16', 16')
Digby (81')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cambridge United

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cambridge United	Draw	Northampton Town
47.71% ( 0.85)	24.97% ( -0.2)	27.32% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 53.96% (

0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

0.46)

48.88% (

-0.45)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.02% (

0.41)

70.98% (

-0.41)

Cambridge United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.47% (

0.55)

20.53% (

-0.55)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.97% (

0.86)

53.03% (

-0.86)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.89% (

-0.25)

32.11% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.42% (

-0.28)

68.58% (

0.29)

Score Analysis

Cambridge United 47.7%

Northampton Town 27.32%

Draw 24.97%

Cambridge United	Draw	Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.43% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.26% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.14) 3-2 @ 2.82% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.69% Total : 47.7%	1-1 @ 11.85% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.97%	0-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.19) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 2.55% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.67% Total : 27.32%