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Cambridge United
League One | Gameweek 37
Mar 9, 2024 at 3pm UK
Abbey Stadium
Northampton Town

Cambridge
1 - 1
Northampton

Kachunga (16')
Digby (81')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Guthrie (82')
Brady (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cambridge United and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bolton 2-0 Cambridge
Saturday, March 2 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Peterborough 5-1 Northampton
Tuesday, March 5 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Cambridge United 1-1 Northampton Town

Garry Monk will hope to have an immediate impact on a Cambridge United side desperate for points, but they face a tough test against a wounded Northampton Town team who have enjoyed a strong campaign thus far. We cannot quite pick a winner in Saturday's meeting at the Abbey Stadium and see a share of the spoils as the most likely outcome. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 47.71%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 27.32% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
47.71% (0.846 0.85) 24.97% (-0.203 -0.2) 27.32% (-0.639 -0.64)
Both teams to score 53.96% (0.178 0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.12% (0.456 0.46)48.88% (-0.452 -0.45)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.02% (0.411 0.41)70.98% (-0.407 -0.41)
Cambridge United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47% (0.553 0.55)20.53% (-0.548 -0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97% (0.86499999999999 0.86)53.03% (-0.861 -0.86)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.89% (-0.247 -0.25)32.11% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.42% (-0.284 -0.28)68.58% (0.289 0.29)
Score Analysis
    Cambridge United 47.7%
    Northampton Town 27.32%
    Draw 24.97%
Cambridge UnitedDrawNorthampton Town
1-0 @ 10.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.077 0.08)
2-0 @ 8.26% (0.124 0.12)
3-1 @ 4.96% (0.123 0.12)
3-0 @ 4.36% (0.137 0.14)
3-2 @ 2.82% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.96% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 1.73% (0.083 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 47.7%
1-1 @ 11.85% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.59% (-0.123 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.49% (-0.193 -0.19)
1-2 @ 6.74% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 4.25% (-0.14 -0.14)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.058 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 27.32%

How you voted: Cambridge vs Northampton

Cambridge United
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Northampton Town
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Nov 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Northampton
2-1
Cambridge
Bowie (49'), Hoskins (55')
McWilliams (42')
Ahadme (77')
Brophy (39'), Digby (79'), Andrew (90')
Digby (80')
Sep 20, 2022 7pm
Nov 16, 2021 7.45pm
First Round Replays
Cambridge
3-1
Northampton
Knibbs (13'), Smith (40'), Worman (48')
Rose (75')
McGowan (82')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Northampton
2-2
Cambridge
Etete (6'), Lewis (35')
Horsfall (12'), McWilliams (87')
Smith (14'), Masterson (66')
Smith (63')
Mar 21, 2020 3pm
rhs 2.0
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