Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Lincoln City had a probability of 23.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.6%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Lincoln City win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.