League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
5 - 0
Peterborough

Harris (19' pen.), Murphy (31'), Rodrigues (38', 58'), Bodin (89')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Katongo (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 47.53%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.04%) and 0-2 (6.49%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (7.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
29.82% ( 0.09)	22.65% ( 0.07)	47.53% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 63.85% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.33% (

-0.31)

36.67% (

0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.17% (

-0.33)

58.82% (

0.33)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.86% (

-0.1)

24.14% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.55% (

-0.14)

58.44% (

0.14)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.16% (

-0.17)

15.84% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.97% (

-0.32)

45.03% (

0.32)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 29.82%

Peterborough United 47.53%

Draw 22.65%

Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.07) 2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.37% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.2% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.79% Total : 29.82%	1-1 @ 10.01% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 1.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.35% Total : 22.65%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0) 0-1 @ 7.04% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.67% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 4.03% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.61% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.84% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.83% Total : 47.53%