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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Stevenage

Peterborough
3 - 1
Stevenage

Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Freeman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Stevenage

Peterborough are enjoying a scintillating run of form, and while they will face a tricky test on Wednesday, we think that they will do enough to claim a narrow victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
62.16% (-1.08 -1.08) 20.44% (0.485 0.48) 17.4% (0.6 0.6)
Both teams to score 55.44% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.55% (-1.174 -1.17)40.45% (1.176 1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.17% (-1.218 -1.22)62.83% (1.221 1.22)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.51% (-0.655 -0.66)12.49% (0.66 0.66)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.54% (-1.385 -1.39)38.46% (1.389 1.39)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)36.65% (0.016000000000005 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.56% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)73.43% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 62.16%
    Stevenage 17.4%
    Draw 20.44%
Peterborough UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.94% (0.028 0.03)
2-0 @ 9.9% (0.032 0.03)
1-0 @ 9.52% (0.271 0.27)
3-1 @ 6.9% (-0.16 -0.16)
3-0 @ 6.87% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-1 @ 3.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
4-0 @ 3.57% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-2 @ 3.46% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-2 @ 1.8% (-0.091 -0.09)
5-1 @ 1.49% (-0.115 -0.12)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.114 -0.11)
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 62.16%
1-1 @ 9.56% (0.268 0.27)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.58% (0.243 0.24)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.44%
1-2 @ 4.8% (0.133 0.13)
0-1 @ 4.59% (0.243 0.24)
0-2 @ 2.31% (0.12 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.67% (0.0029999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 1.61% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.4%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Stevenage

Peterborough United
83.6%
Draw
10.9%
Stevenage
5.5%
55
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Stevenage
2-2
Peterborough
Wildin (22'), Thompson (30')
Piergianni (34'), Ashby-Hammond (66')
Randall (51'), Jade-Jones (81')
Aug 30, 2022 7.30pm
Group Stage
Peterborough
1-2
Stevenage
Jade-Jones (9')
Knight (50')
J (18'), Piergianni (84')
Reeves (32'), Earley (50')
Aug 23, 2022 7.45pm
Second Round
Stevenage
1-0
Peterborough
Reid (90+3')
Taylor (70')

Taylor (2'), Knight (64')
Nov 19, 2019 7.45pm
First Round
Peterborough
2-0
Stevenage
Eisa (11'), Jade-Jones (94')
Toney (55')

Fernandez (56')
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
First Round
Stevenage
1-1
Peterborough
List (56')
Watts (6'), Stokes (81')
Maddison (79')
Thompson (24'), Butler (47'), Woodyard (81')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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