League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 1
Stevenage

Burrows (44' pen.), Katongo (64'), Poku (77')
Kyprianou (33')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Freeman (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-3 Peterborough
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Stevenage

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Fleetwood
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Stevenage had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.56%), while for a Stevenage win it was 1-2 (4.8%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Stevenage
62.16% ( -1.08)	20.44% ( 0.48)	17.4% ( 0.6)

Both teams to score 55.44% (

-0.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.55% (

-1.17)

40.45% (

1.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.17% (

-1.22)

62.83% (

1.22)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.51% (

-0.66)

12.49% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.54% (

-1.39)

38.46% (

1.39)

Stevenage Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.35% (

-0.01)

36.65% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.56% (

-0.02)

73.43% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 62.16%

Stevenage 17.4%

Draw 20.44%

Peterborough United	Draw	Stevenage
2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.52% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 6.87% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.18) 4-0 @ 3.57% ( -0.18) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.12) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.63% Total : 62.16%	1-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.58% ( 0.24) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 20.44%	1-2 @ 4.8% ( 0.13) 0-1 @ 4.59% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 2.31% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.67% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.43% Total : 17.4%