League One

League One | Gameweek 33

Apr 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
3 - 0
Port Vale

Randall (45+2'), Burrows (56' pen.), Iacovitti (86' og.)
Knight (45')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Ojo (8'), Lowe (77'), Ikpeazu (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Peterborough 2-1 Wycombe
Sunday, April 7 at 4.30pm in EFL Trophy

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Wigan 0-0 Port Vale
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 13.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Port Vale
67.97% ( -0.2)	18.31% ( 0.11)	13.72% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62% (

-0.28)

38% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.74% (

-0.29)

60.26% (

0.29)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.77% (

-0.13)

10.23% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.44% (

-0.29)

33.56% (

0.29)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.15% (

-0.04)

39.85% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.48% (

-0.03)

76.51% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 67.97%

Port Vale 13.72%

Draw 18.31%

Peterborough United	Draw	Port Vale
2-0 @ 10.59% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.75% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 8.05% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 7.41% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.03) Other @ 4.7% Total : 67.97%	1-1 @ 8.55% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.08% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.31%	1-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.75% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.38% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.72% Total : 13.72%