League One

League One | Gameweek 41

Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 0
Bristol Rovers

Garrity (42'), Dipepa (52')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Hoole (34'), Wilson (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Port Vale and Bristol Rovers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 23 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 37.03%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.24%) and 0-2 (6.19%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 1-0 (9.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Bristol Rovers
36.94% ( -0.27)	26.03% ( -0.02)	37.03% ( 0.29)

Both teams to score 54.15% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.71% (

0.09)

50.28% (

-0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.76% (

0.09)

72.23% (

-0.09)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.56% (

-0.11)

26.44% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.39% (

-0.14)

61.61% (

0.14)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.61% (

0.21)

26.39% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

0.28)

61.54% (

-0.28)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 36.94%

Bristol Rovers 37.03%

Draw 26.02%

Port Vale	Draw	Bristol Rovers
1-0 @ 9.28% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.23% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.43% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 36.94%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 26.02%	0-1 @ 9.3% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.24% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.19% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.43% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.33% Total : 37.03%