League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 0
Port Vale

Pinnock (34'), McWilliams (90+4')
Burge (78'), McWilliams (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Garrity (16'), Weir (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 2-0 Bristol Rovers
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Port Vale
39.2% ( 0.05)	26.61% ( 0.01)	34.18% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.03% (

-0.04)

52.96% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.43% (

-0.03)

74.56% (

0.03)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.57% (

0.01)

26.42% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.41% (

0.02)

61.59% (

-0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.61% (

-0.06)

29.39% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.62% (

-0.07)

65.38% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 39.2%

Port Vale 34.18%

Draw 26.61%

Northampton Town	Draw	Port Vale
1-0 @ 10.33% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 6.88% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 2.23% Total : 39.2%	1-1 @ 12.65% 0-0 @ 7.77% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.16% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.11% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.49% Total : 34.18%