League One Gameweek 42
Northampton
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
Port Vale
  • Mitchell Pinnock 34' goal
  • Lee Burge 78' yellowcard
  • Shaun McWilliams 90'+4' goal
  • Shaun McWilliams 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 16'
  • yellowcard Jensen Weir 64'

Northampton Town vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Port Vale 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (9.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Northampton Town would win this match.

Result

Northampton Town 39.2% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 26.61% ▲ (+0.01)
Port Vale 34.18% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.95% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 52.96% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 25.43% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 74.56% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 11.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 88.36% ▲ (+0.03)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 73.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 26.42% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 38.41% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 61.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 70.61% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 29.39% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 34.62% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 65.38% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 39.2%
Draw 26.61%
Port Vale 34.18%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 10.33% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.74% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.05% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.29% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 39.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65%
0-0 @ 7.77% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.04%
Total : 26.61%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 9.51% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.38% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 34.18%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 8
Port Vale
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Northampton
  • Ethan Chislett 53' yellowcard
  • Ben Garrity 84' goal
League Two Gameweek 32
Port Vale
Feb 12, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Northampton
  • Aaron Martin 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Paul Lewis 52'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 63'
  • yellowcard Beryly Lubala 82'
League Two Gameweek 1
Northampton
Aug 7, 2021 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT PTS ACADEMY STADIUM
Port Vale
  • Benny Ashley-Seal 23' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 71' yellowcard
  • Aaron McGowan 73' yellowcard
  • Dylan Connolly 77' yellowcard
  • Danny Rose 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Johnson 27'
  • redcard Tom Conlon 55'
  • yellowcard Aaron Martin 81'
League Two Gameweek 32
Northampton
Feb 8, 2020 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
Port Vale
  • Paul Anderson 44' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 45' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 44'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 49'
  • goal David Worrall 72'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 76'
  • yellowcard James Gibbons 84'
League Two Gameweek 2
Port Vale
Aug 10, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Northampton
  • David Amoo 26' goal
  • Luke Joyce 43' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Martin 36'
  • goal Ryan Watson 45'
  • yellowcard Charlie Goode 45'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 61'
  • yellowcard Joe Bunney 74'
  • yellowcard Sam Hoskins 94'
League Two Gameweek 40
Northampton
Mar 30, 2019 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Sixfields Stadium (Northampton, East Midlands)
Port Vale
  • Sam Hoskins 5' goal
  • Sam Foley 55' yellowcard
  • Charlie Goode 75' yellowcard
  • redcard Leon Legge 42'
  • goal David Worrall 44'
  • goal Tom Pope 75'

Form Data

Reading 1 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 1 - 0 Derby
Wycombe 2 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 0 - 1 Blackpool
Cambridge 1 - 1 Northampton
Peterborough 5 - 1 Northampton
Port Vale 2 - 0 Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion 0 - 1 Port Vale
Port Vale 0 - 2 Oxford Utd
Leyton Orient 0 - 0 Port Vale
Port Vale 1 - 2 Shrewsbury
Derby 3 - 0 Port Vale