League One Gameweek 40
Northampton
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
Derby
  • Mitchell Pinnock 14' yellowcard
  • Jon Brady 15' yellowcard
  • Sam Hoskins 23' goal
  • Marc Leonard 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Louie Sibley 45'
  • yellowcard Eiran Cashin 50'
  • redcard Sonny Bradley 90'+10'

Northampton Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Wycombe 2 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
James Collins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 60.03%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Northampton Town had a probability of 16.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.92%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Northampton Town win it was 1-0 (6.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result

Northampton Town 16.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Draw 23.16%
Derby County 60.03% ▼ (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.68% ▲ (+0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.13% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 52.86% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 25.52% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 74.48% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 4.5 11.69% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 88.31% ▼ (-0.04)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 55.22% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 44.77% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 19.25% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 80.75% ▼ (-0.08)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 82.72% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 17.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 52.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 47.61% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 16.81%
Draw 23.15%
Derby County 60.03%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 6.22%
2-1 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 2.5% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 1.18% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.03% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.81%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 23.15%
Derby County
0-1 @ 13.58% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 11.92% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.58% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 6.98% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 5.61% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 3.06% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.46% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.5%
Total : 60.03%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 7
Derby
Oct 31, 2023 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Northampton
  • Max Bird 14' goal
  • Conor Washington 22' goal
  • Max Bird 32' goal
  • Nathaniel Mendez-Laing 49' goal
  • Conor Washington 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Patrick Brough 2'
  • yellowcard Akin Odimayo 71'
FA Cup
Derby
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
4
2
HT : 2 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Northampton
  • Andre Wisdom 28' goal
  • Duane Holmes 35' goal
  • Jack Marriott 51' goal
  • Wayne Rooney 77' goal
  • goal Nicky Adams 47'
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 55'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 84'
FA Cup
Northampton
Jan 24, 2020 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Derby
  • Ryan Watson 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jayden Bogle 81'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Northampton
Jul 25, 2017 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Derby
  • Marc Richards 18' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Northampton
Jul 18, 2015 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
Derby
  • goal Johnny Russell 32'

Form Data

Wycombe 2 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 0 - 1 Blackpool
Cambridge 1 - 1 Northampton
Peterborough 5 - 1 Northampton
Northampton 1 - 1 Charlton
Burton Albion 0 - 2 Northampton
Derby 1 - 0 Bolton
Derby 2 - 1 Reading
Bristol Rovers 0 - 3 Derby
Derby 3 - 0 Port Vale
Derby 1 - 2 Charlton
Barnsley 2 - 1 Derby