/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fchalog.png)
-
Sonny Bradley
22'
-
Eiran Cashin
39'
-
Joe Wildsmith
64'
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Alfie May
65'
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Karoy Anderson
80'
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Macaulay Gillesphey
82'
-
Chuks Aneke
90'+5'
Derby County vs Charlton Athletic - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F04%2Fpaul-warne.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result
Derby County
63.84%
▲
(+0.18)
Draw
19.85%
▼
(-0.06)
Charlton Athletic
16.31%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
55.14%
▼
(-0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5
60.29%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 2.5
39.71%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 3.5
37.94%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 3.5
62.06%
▼
(-0.03)
Over 4.5
20.51%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
79.49%
▼
(-0.03)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
88.21%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 0.5
11.79%
▼
(-0.06)
Over 1.5
63%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 1.5
37%
▼
(-0.12)
Charlton Athletic Goals
Over 0.5
62.52%
▼
(-0.13)
Under 0.5
37.48%
▲
(+0.13)
Over 1.5
25.73%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 1.5
74.27%
▲
(+0.13)
Score analysis
Derby County
63.84%
Draw
19.85%
Charlton Athletic
16.31%
Derby County
2-0
@
10.1%
▲
(+0.04)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.84%
2-1 @ 9.91% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 7.06% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.03)
4-1 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.01)
5-0 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
5-1 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.92%
Total : 63.84%
Draw
1-1
@
9.27%
▼
(-0.03)
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.85%
2-2 @ 4.86% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 19.85%
Charlton Athletic
1-2
@
4.55%
▼
(-0.03)
0-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 16.31%
0-1 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.49% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.22%
Total : 16.31%
