League One

League One | Gameweek 13

Feb 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 2
Charlton

Cashin (39')
Bradley (22'), Wildsmith (64')

FT(HT: 1-0)

May (65' pen.), Anderson (80')
Gillesphey (82'), Aneke (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Derby County and Charlton Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 2-1 Derby
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Charlton Athletic

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 0-0 Portsmouth
Saturday, February 24 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 16.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Charlton Athletic
63.84% ( 0.18)	19.85% ( -0.05)	16.31% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 55.14% (

-0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.29% (

0.03)

39.71% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.94% (

0.03)

62.06% (

-0.03)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.21% (

0.06)

11.79% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63% (

0.12)

37% (

-0.12)

Charlton Athletic Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52% (

-0.12)

37.48% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.73% (

-0.12)

74.27% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Derby County 63.84%

Charlton Athletic 16.31%

Draw 19.85%

Derby County	Draw	Charlton Athletic
2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.2% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 7.06% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.85% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.47% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.92% Total : 63.84%	1-1 @ 9.27% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.85%	1-2 @ 4.55% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 4.34% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.31%