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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 63.84%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for Charlton Athletic had a probability of 16.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 1-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a Charlton Athletic win it was 1-2 (4.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
63.84% (![]() | 19.85% (![]() | 16.31% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.14% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.29% (![]() | 39.71% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.94% (![]() | 62.06% (![]() |
Derby County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.21% (![]() | 11.79% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63% (![]() | 37% (![]() |
Charlton Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.52% (![]() | 37.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.73% (![]() | 74.27% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Derby County | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
2-0 @ 10.1% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.91% ( ![]() 1-0 @ 9.45% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 7.2% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.06% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.47% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.85% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 1.65% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 1.61% ( ![]() Other @ 3.92% Total : 63.84% | 1-1 @ 9.27% (![]() 2-2 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.42% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.85% | 1-2 @ 4.55% (![]() 0-1 @ 4.34% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.13% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.49% ( ![]() Other @ 2.22% Total : 16.31% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Stockport CountyStockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> League One Full Table |