/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fderlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fbollog.png)
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Nathaniel Mendez-Laing
59'
-
Kane Wilson
78'
-
Eoin Toal
28'
Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 48.67%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 26.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Derby County in this match.
Result
Derby County
48.67%
Draw
24.5%
Bolton Wanderers
26.83%
Both Teams to Score:
55.07%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
52.77%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
47.23%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
30.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
69.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 4.5
15.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 4.5
84.95%
▲
(+0.01)
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5
80.54%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
19.46%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
48.68%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
51.32%
▲
(+0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5
68.38%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
31.62%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
31.97%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
68.03%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Derby County
48.66%
Draw
24.5%
Bolton Wanderers
26.83%
Derby County
1-0
@
10.07%
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.66%
2-1 @ 9.49%
2-0 @ 8.24% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.18% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.98%
4-1 @ 2.12% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 48.66%
Draw
1-1
@
11.59%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
0-0 @ 6.15% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.5%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1
@
7.09%
▲
(+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.83%
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.08%
1-3 @ 2.56%
2-3 @ 2.1%
0-3 @ 1.57%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 26.83%
Head to Head
-
Dion Charles
43'
-
Dion Charles
43'
-
Ricardo Santos
60'
-
Tyrese Fornah
65'
-
George Thomason
70'
-
Randell Williams
84'
-
Conor Hourihane
34'
-
Conor Hourihane
34'
-
Korey Smith
43'
-
Korey Smith
43'
-
Joe Wildsmith
48'
-
Joe Wildsmith
48'
-
Craig Forsyth
70'