League One Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 1
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Joel Randall 61' goal
  • yellowcard Jack Ellis 7'
  • goal Jon Mellish 27'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 33'
  • goal Jon Mellish 49'
  • goal Jon Mellish 58'

Peterborough United vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 16, 2024 3.00pm
Peterborough 0 - 1 Portsmouth
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Ephron Mason-Clark

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 23, 2024 3.00pm
Carlisle 2 - 2 Stevenage
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 70.6%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 12.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.01%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-2 (3.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood.

Result

Peterborough United 70.6% (-0.32)
Draw 17.19% (+0.17)
Carlisle United 12.22% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.51% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 63.61% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 36.39% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 41.48% (-0.48)
Under 3.5 58.52% (+0.48)
Over 4.5 23.34% (-0.40)
Under 4.5 76.66% (+0.39)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 90.82% (-0.19)
Under 0.5 9.18% (+0.19)
Over 1.5 68.9% (-0.44)
Under 1.5 31.1% (+0.44)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 58.92% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 41.08% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 22.37% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 77.62% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Peterborough United 70.59%
Draw 17.19%
Carlisle United 12.22%
Peterborough United
2-0 @ 10.75% (+0.06)
2-1 @ 9.57% (+0.03)
1-0 @ 9.01% (+0.12)
3-0 @ 8.56% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.62% (-0.05)
4-0 @ 5.11% (-0.07)
4-1 @ 4.55% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.03)
5-0 @ 2.44% (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.17% (-0.05)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.04)
Other @ 5.41%
Total : 70.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.01% (+0.10)
2-2 @ 4.26% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 3.77% (+0.09)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 17.19%
Carlisle United
1-2 @ 3.56% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 3.36% (+0.07)
0-2 @ 1.49% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.26%
1-3 @ 1.06% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 12.22%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 11
Oct 3, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park
  • Fin Back 76' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Jordan Gibson 90'+6' goal
  • goal Ronnie Edwards 72'
FA Cup
Nov 8, 2014 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Christian Burgess 42' goal
  • Kyle Vassell 45' yellowcard
  • Christian Burgess 91' goal
  • goal Derek Asamoah 8'
League One
Apr 21, 2014 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Conor Washington 14' goal
  • Jack Baldwin 19' yellowcard
  • Ben Nugent 53' yellowcard
  • Britt Assombalonga 55' goal
  • Britt Assombalonga 73' goal
  • Michael Bostwick 90' goal
  • goal Lee Miller 63'
  • yellowcard Jordan Pickford 73'
League One
Dec 29, 2013 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Liam Noble 19' yellowcard
  • Prince Buaben 42' yellowcard
  • Sean O'Hanlon 60' yellowcard
  • David Amoo 72' goal
  • David Amoo 73' goal
  • yellowcard Britt Assombalonga 49'
  • redcard Hogan Ephraim 52'
  • goal Lee Tomlin 61'
  • yellowcard Daniel Swanson 68'
  • yellowcard Mark Little 90'
  • yellowcard Lee Tomlin 90'
League One
Mar 12, 2011 3.00pm
6
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Tommy Rowe 2' goal
  • Craig Mackail-Smith 24' goal
  • George Boyd 45' goal
  • Ryan Bennett 77' goal
  • George Boyd 83' goal
  • David Ball 90' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Curran 41'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 45'
  • redcard Liam Cooper 63'
  • yellowcard James Berrett 90'
League One
Oct 2, 2010 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Craig Mackail-Smith 32'
  • yellowcard Aaron McLean 34'