League One

League One | Gameweek 39

Mar 16, 2024 at 3pm UK

Montgomery Waters Meadow

Shrewsbury
1 - 0
Carlisle

Udoh (40')
Perry (7')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Neal (4'), McGeouch (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Shrewsbury 0-3 Exeter
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 2-3 Barnsley
Tuesday, March 12 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carlisle United win with a probability of 37.08%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 35.57% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carlisle United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.03%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Shrewsbury Town in this match.

Result
Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Carlisle United
35.57% ( -0.02)	27.35% ( 0.01)	37.08% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 49.79% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.23% (

-0.06)

55.77% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.1% (

-0.05)

76.9% (

0.05)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.1% (

-0.04)

29.9% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34% (

-0.05)

65.99% (

0.05)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.03% (

-0.02)

28.97% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.14% (

-0.03)

64.86% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Shrewsbury Town 35.56%

Carlisle United 37.08%

Draw 27.34%

Shrewsbury Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 7.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.31% 3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.95% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 35.56%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 10.73% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 8.03% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( -0) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.08%