League One

League One | Gameweek 38

Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
2 - 3
Barnsley

Armstrong (10'), Butterworth (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Williams (33'), McAtee (49'), Russell (76')
O'Keeffe (66'), Killip (90'), Grant (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Barnsley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Charlton 3-2 Carlisle
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Barnsley

All competitions

Last Game: Barnsley 1-5 Lincoln
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 59.21%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 18.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (5.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Barnsley
18.98% ( 1.03)	21.81% ( 1.2)	59.21% ( -2.23)

Both teams to score 53.86% (

-2.15)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.97% (

-3.78)

44.03% (

3.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.58% (

-3.79)

66.41% (

3.79)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.99% (

-1.11)

37% (

1.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.21% (

-1.11)

73.79% (

1.11)

Barnsley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.49% (

-1.88)

14.51% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.48% (

-3.76)

42.52% (

3.76)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 18.98%

Barnsley 59.21%

Draw 21.8%

Carlisle United	Draw	Barnsley
1-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.69) 2-1 @ 5.12% ( 0.2) 2-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.53% Total : 18.98%	1-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.69) 0-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.84) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.8%	0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.98) 0-2 @ 10% ( 0.29) 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.44% ( -0.26) 1-3 @ 6.4% ( -0.46) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.33) 0-4 @ 3.11% ( -0.36) 1-4 @ 3.09% ( -0.46) 2-4 @ 1.54% ( -0.28) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.23) 1-5 @ 1.19% ( -0.28) Other @ 2.77% Total : 59.21%