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League One | Gameweek 38
Mar 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Montgomery Waters Meadow
Exeter City

Shrewsbury
0 - 3
Exeter


Sraha (5'), Bayliss (42'), Benning (42')
Shipley (6')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Aimson (33'), Harris (41'), Aitchison (45+5')
Harper (27'), Cole (29'), Eisa (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Shrewsbury Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Port Vale 1-2 Shrewsbury
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Exeter 2-2 Bolton
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in League One

We said: Shrewsbury Town 1-1 Exeter City

For all of Shrewsbury's attacking shortcomings on home soil, Exeter arrive at Montgomery Waters Meadow with just one clean sheet from their last 14 away games and have often struggled to shut out their hosts on Salop soil. Jellied legs from the weekend could also hamper the flow of both sides, and in a contest as tight as the table would suggest, we can only envisage a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shrewsbury Town win with a probability of 38.21%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shrewsbury Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.72%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (9.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
38.21% (0.091000000000001 0.09) 26.81% (0.0070000000000014 0.01) 34.98% (-0.095999999999997 -0.1)
Both teams to score 51.45% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.34% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)53.65% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.85% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)75.15% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Shrewsbury Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.7% (0.036999999999992 0.04)27.3% (-0.035 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.25% (0.045999999999999 0.05)62.74% (-0.044999999999995 -0.04)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.77% (-0.076999999999998 -0.08)29.22% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.82% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)65.17% (0.096000000000004 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Shrewsbury Town 38.2%
    Exeter City 34.98%
    Draw 26.8%
Shrewsbury TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 10.35% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 8.27% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.72% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.58% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.91% (0.012 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
4-1 @ 1.16% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 0.94% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.2%
1-1 @ 12.74% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.98% (0.011 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 0.9% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 9.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.04% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.21% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.09% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
1-4 @ 0.99% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 34.98%

How you voted: Shrewsbury vs Exeter

Shrewsbury Town
52.2%
Draw
34.8%
Exeter City
13.0%
23
Head to Head
Nov 28, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
0-0
Shrewsbury
Sweeney (50'), Cole (69')
Shipley (18')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Shrewsbury
3-2
Exeter
Pennington (22'), Bayliss (34'), Dunkley (90+3')
Sweeney (17'), Grounds (20')
Apr 11, 2015 3pm
Nov 22, 2014 3pm
Exeter
3-2
Shrewsbury
Nichols (46', 91'), Wheeler (75')
Grimes (61'), Cummins (77'), Wheeler (96')
Collins (13', 34')
Lawrence (29'), Grimmer (65'), Knight-Percival (70'), Goldson (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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