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Exeter City
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Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
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Wycombe Wanderers
Lincoln City
League One | Gameweek 41
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
LNER Stadium
Leyton Orient

Lincoln
1 - 0
Leyton Orient

Makama (90')
Hackett (19')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Sanders (55'), Brown (68'), Sotiriou (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Lincoln City and Leyton Orient, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lincoln 5-0 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Stevenage 0-1 Leyton Orient
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in League One

We said: Lincoln City 2-1 Leyton Orient

While Lincoln have recently produced the most consistent form, we cannot ignore Leyton Orient's recent win at Stevenage. That said, Lincoln would be backed against many teams in this division right now, leading us to go with a hard-fought success for the home side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Leyton Orient had a probability of 25.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Leyton Orient win it was 0-1 (9.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Lincoln City in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
46.93% (0.0069999999999979 0.01) 27.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.52% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Both teams to score 45.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)59.78% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)80.07% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Lincoln City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.46% (0.0040000000000049 0)25.54% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)60.39% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Leyton Orient Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.48% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)39.52%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.79% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)76.2%
Score Analysis
    Lincoln City 46.92%
    Leyton Orient 25.52%
    Draw 27.54%
Lincoln CityDrawLeyton Orient
1-0 @ 13.77%
2-0 @ 9.4% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.28% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.46% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 46.92%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.09%
2-2 @ 4.05%
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 27.54%
0-1 @ 9.37% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
1-2 @ 5.94%
0-2 @ 4.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.35%
2-3 @ 1.25%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 25.52%

How you voted: Lincoln vs Leyton Orient

Lincoln City
71.0%
Draw
12.9%
Leyton Orient
16.1%
31
Head to Head
Nov 21, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 11
Leyton Orient
0-1
Lincoln

Wellens (35'), Cooper (70'), Happe (78')
Hamilton (89')
Hamilton (34'), Eyoma (53')
Apr 22, 2006 3pm
Lincoln
1-1
Leyton Orient
Forrester (36')
Mackie (2')
Simpson (34'), Zakuani (60'), Alexander (62')
Oct 15, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Alexander (18')
Butcher (70')
Cryan (80'), Beevers (83')
Feb 22, 2005 3pm
Leyton Orient
1-1
Lincoln
Mackie (83')
Yeo (3')
Oct 23, 2004 3pm
Lincoln
3-4
Leyton Orient
McAuley (3', 48'), Yeo (14')
Butcher (88')
Steele (11', 78', 89'), Ibehre (37')
Harrison (45')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth452713576413594
2Derby CountyDerby452781076373989
3Bolton WanderersBolton452511983483586
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough452581286582883
5Barnsley4521121281631875
6Lincoln CityLincoln4520141165382774
7Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4521111377552274
8Blackpool4521101463451873
9Stevenage4518141355451068
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe451614155955462
11Leyton Orient451711175054-462
12Exeter CityExeter451710184559-1461
13Wigan AthleticWigan451910166156559
14Northampton TownNorthampton45178205665-959
15Bristol Rovers45169205266-1457
16Charlton AthleticCharlton451120146464053
17Reading451511196568-350
18Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury45139233464-3048
19Cambridge UnitedCambridge451211223961-2247
20Burton Albion451210233964-2546
21Cheltenham TownCheltenham45128254063-2344
RFleetwood TownFleetwood45913234672-2640
RPort Vale451010254174-3340
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4579294179-3830


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