Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.