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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 25.75% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Lincoln City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 49.2% ( | 25.04% ( | 25.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.72% ( | 50.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.77% ( | 72.22% ( |
| Lincoln City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( | 20.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.09% ( | 52.91% ( |
| Wigan Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.89% ( | 34.1% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.21% ( | 70.79% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Lincoln City | Draw | Wigan Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 11.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 2-0 @ 8.78% ( 3-1 @ 5% ( 3-0 @ 4.65% 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 4-0 @ 1.84% ( 4-2 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 2.67% Total : 49.2% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0-0 @ 6.97% ( 2-2 @ 5.08% ( 3-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 7.5% ( 1-2 @ 6.41% 0-2 @ 4.04% 1-3 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.82% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.24% Total : 25.75% |