League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Brunton Park

Carlisle
1 - 3
Lincoln

Lavelle (80')
Barclay (85'), Emmanuel (90+2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

House (10'), Taylor (53'), Bishop (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Carlisle United and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 1-3 Carlisle
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Lincoln 1-0 Leyton Orient
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 53.64%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.72%) and 0-2 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Lincoln City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Lincoln City.

Result
Carlisle United	Draw	Lincoln City
22.4% ( 0.06)	23.96% ( 0.03)	53.64% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.13% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.12% (

-0.07)

48.87% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.03% (

-0.07)

70.96% (

0.06)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.69% (

0.01)

36.31% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.9% (

0.01)

73.09% (

-0.02)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.85% (

-0.06)

18.14% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.89% (

-0.1)

49.11% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Carlisle United 22.4%

Lincoln City 53.64%

Draw 23.96%

Carlisle United	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 3.38% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.66% 3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 22.4%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.59% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( -0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.96%	0-1 @ 11.24% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.6% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 5.46% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.4% Total : 53.64%