League One Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
  • Lewis Wing 67' yellowcard
  • Tyler Bindon 83' goal
  • Lewis Wing 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Ben Elliott 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard 69'
  • goal Freddie Draper 72'

Reading vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Bolton 5 - 2 Reading
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Carlisle 1 - 3 Lincoln
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Joe Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reading win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for Lincoln City had a probability of 29.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reading win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Lincoln City win was 0-1 (7.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result

Reading 45.09% (-0.06)
Draw 25.03% (+0.02)
Lincoln City 29.88% (+0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.51% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.35% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 47.65% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 30.15% (-0.06)
Under 3.5 69.85% (+0.06)
Over 4.5 14.77% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 85.23% (+0.04)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 78.84% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 21.17% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 45.97% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 54.03% (+0.09)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 70.41% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 29.59%
Over 1.5 34.37%
Under 1.5 65.63% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Reading 45.09%
Draw 25.03%
Lincoln City 29.88%
Reading
1-0 @ 9.73% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 7.55% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.76% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.91% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.9% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.85% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 45.09%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.84% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.03%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.64% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.93% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 29.88%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Nelson Abby 3' goal
  • Dylan Duffy 38' yellowcard
  • Lukas Jensen 41' yellowcard
  • Ethan Hamilton 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nelson Abby 22'
  • redcard Ruben Selles 23'
  • goal Harvey Knibbs 56'
  • yellowcard Harvey Knibbs 75'
  • yellowcard Andy Yiadom 75'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 10, 2021 1.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Manadi Camara 71' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 20, 2019 9.00am
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Harry Anderson 88' goal
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 16, 2016 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • James Caton 1' goal
  • Jack Muldoon 3' goal
  • Luke Waterfall 49' goal
  • Bradley Wood 84' goal
  • goal Sam Smith 83'