League One

League One | Gameweek 42

Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
5 - 2
Reading

Collins (11', 11', 45+4' pen., 45+4' pen., 77', 77'), Dadi Bodvarsson (49', 49', 90+5', 90+5')
Ogbeta (16'), Ogbeta (16'), Sheehan (53'), Sheehan (53')

FT(HT: 4-2)

Wing (40', 40'), Mukairu (90+2', 90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Reading, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 0-0 Bolton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Reading

All competitions

Last Game: Reading 1-0 Northampton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Reading
68.97% ( -0.16)	17.35% ( 0.07)	13.68% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 57.61% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

66.66% (

-0.07)

33.34% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

44.88% (

-0.08)

55.12% (

0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.24% (

-0.06)

8.76% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.9% (

-0.13)

30.1% (

0.13)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.14% (

0.09)

36.85% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.36% (

0.09)

73.64% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 68.97%

Reading 13.68%

Draw 17.35%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Reading
2-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 4.73% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 4.72% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( 0) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) 6-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.17% Total : 68.97%	1-1 @ 7.85% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.22% Total : 17.35%	1-2 @ 3.92% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.04% Total : 13.68%