League One Gameweek 42
Bolton
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
5
2
HT : 4 2
FT University of Bolton Stadium
Reading
  • Aaron Collins 11' goal
  • Aaron Collins 11' goal
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 16' yellowcard
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 16' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 45'+4' goal
  • Aaron Collins 45'+4' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 49' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 49' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 53' yellowcard
  • Josh Sheehan 53' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 77' goal
  • Aaron Collins 77' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+5' goal
  • Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 90'+5' goal
  • goal Lewis Wing 40'
  • goal Lewis Wing 40'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 90'+2'
  • goal Paul Mukairu 90'+2'

Bolton Wanderers vs Reading - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Stevenage 0 - 0 Bolton
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Reading

All competitions
Last game
Mar 29, 2024 3.00pm
Reading 1 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Sam Smith

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 68.97%. A draw had a probability of 17.4% and a win for Reading had a probability of 13.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 1-0 (7.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.85%), while for a Reading win it was 1-2 (3.92%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 68.97% ▼ (-0.17)
Draw 17.35% ▲ (+0.07)
Reading 13.68% ▲ (+0.10)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.61% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 66.66% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 2.5 33.34% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 44.88% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 3.5 55.12% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 4.5 26.19% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 4.5 73.8% ▲ (+0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 91.24% ▼ (-0.06)
Under 0.5 8.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Over 1.5 69.9% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 1.5 30.1% ▲ (+0.14)

Reading Goals

Over 0.5 63.14% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 0.5 36.85% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 1.5 26.36% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 73.64% ▼ (-0.10)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 68.97%
Draw 17.35%
Reading 13.68%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.55% ▲ (+0.02)
1-0 @ 7.86% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 7.75% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 4.73% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.87% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 2.36% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.03)
5-1 @ 2.3% ▼ (-0.02)
5-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.04%
Total : 68.97%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.85% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 3.23% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 17.35%
Reading
1-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.03)
0-1 @ 3.22% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.61% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.59% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 13.68%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 8
Reading
Sep 16, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Select Car Leasing Stadium
Bolton
  • Dominic Ballard 30' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 77' goal
  • Andy Yiadom 79' yellowcard
  • Caylan Vickers 86' goal
  • Femi Azeez 87' yellowcard
  • Amadou Mbengue 87' yellowcard
  • Charlie Savage 90'+2' yellowcard
  • 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 13'
  • yellowcard Eoin Toal 16'
  • goal Dion Charles 20'
  • yellowcard Randell Williams 38'
  • yellowcard Cameron Jerome 76'
  • yellowcard George Thomason 76'
  • redcard Eoin Toal 90'+4'
Championship Gameweek 29
Bolton
Jan 29, 2019 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Macron Stadium (Bolton)
Reading
  • Craig Noone 35' yellowcard
  • Andrew Taylor 58' yellowcard
  • Jack Hobbs 90' goal
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 53'
  • yellowcard Andy Rinomhota 60'
  • yellowcard John Swift 63'
  • goal Nelson Oliveira 74'
Championship Gameweek 3
Reading
Aug 18, 2018 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Madejski Stadium (Reading, Berkshire)
Bolton
  • Tyler Blackett 25' yellowcard
  • Liam Kelly 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard David Wheater 11'
  • goal Yanic Wildschut 48'
Championship
Reading
Mar 6, 2018 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Bolton
  • Modou Barrow 32' goal
  • Modou Barrow 33' yellowcard
  • Dave Edwards 64' yellowcard
  • George Evans 81' yellowcard
  • goal Adam le Fondre 45'
  • yellowcard Will Buckley 57'
  • yellowcard Jon Flanagan 89'
  • yellowcard Karl Henry 90'
Championship
Bolton
Nov 21, 2017 8.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Reading
  • Antonee Robinson 14' yellowcard
  • Reece Burke 18' goal
  • Darren Pratley 23' goal
  • Gary Madine 80' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Moore 76'
  • goal Leandro Bacuna 83'
Championship
Bolton
Apr 2, 2016 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Reading
  • Rob Holding 22' redcard
  • Darren Pratley 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yann Kermorgant 28'
  • yellowcard Chris Gunter 40'
  • yellowcard Stephen Quinn 74'
  • goal Ola John 90'
  • yellowcard Ola John 91'

Form Data

Stevenage 0 - 0 Bolton
Derby 1 - 0 Bolton
Bolton 5 - 0 Oxford Utd
Exeter 2 - 2 Bolton
Barnsley 2 - 2 Bolton
Bolton 2 - 0 Cambridge
Reading 1 - 0 Northampton
Reading 4 - 0 Cambridge
Derby 2 - 1 Reading
Reading 1 - 2 Wycombe
Carlisle 1 - 3 Reading
Reading 2 - 3 Shrewsbury