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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 37.48%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.99%) and 2-0 (6.86%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 37.48% ( | 27.75% ( | 34.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.51% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.65% ( | 57.34% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.83% ( | 78.17% ( |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( | 29.5% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.48% ( | 65.51% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.81% ( | 31.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.47% | 67.53% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 11.23% 2-1 @ 7.99% ( 2-0 @ 6.86% ( 3-1 @ 3.25% ( 3-0 @ 2.79% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% 4-1 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 37.48% | 1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 2-2 @ 4.65% ( Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.72% 1-2 @ 7.62% 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 2.96% 0-3 @ 2.43% ( 2-3 @ 1.81% Other @ 2.99% Total : 34.77% |