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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 42.32%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 29.7% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.4%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stevenage | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 42.32% | 27.99% | 29.7% |
| Both teams to score 46.43% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.7% | 59.3% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.3% | 79.7% |
| Stevenage Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.31% | 27.69% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.75% | 63.25% |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.21% | 35.79% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.43% | 72.57% |
| Score Analysis |
| Stevenage | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 12.72% 2-1 @ 8.4% 2-0 @ 8.17% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-0 @ 3.5% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-1 @ 1.15% 4-0 @ 1.12% Other @ 1.81% Total : 42.31% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.91% 2-2 @ 4.31% Other @ 0.69% Total : 27.98% | 0-1 @ 10.18% 1-2 @ 6.72% 0-2 @ 5.23% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2% Total : 29.7% |