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Championship header 2

League One

Oxford United
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 19, 2024 at 8pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Stevenage

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Stevenage

Brannagan (59' pen.)
FT(HT: 0-1)
Long (32' og.)
Vancooten (10'), Guinness-Walker (71'), Smith (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's League One clash between Oxford United and Stevenage, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Stevenage

All competitions
Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.95%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-2 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
43.98%24.66%31.36% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Both teams to score 57.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.64%45.36% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.31%67.69% (0.00099999999999056 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.29%20.71% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.69%53.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.54% (0.0010000000000048 0)27.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.05%62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 43.98%
    Stevenage 31.36%
    Draw 24.66%
Oxford UnitedDrawStevenage
2-1 @ 9.11%
1-0 @ 8.95%
2-0 @ 7.05%
3-1 @ 4.78%
3-0 @ 3.7%
3-2 @ 3.09%
4-1 @ 1.88%
4-0 @ 1.46%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 5.89%
0-0 @ 5.69%
3-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.66%
1-2 @ 7.48%
0-1 @ 7.35% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.75%
1-3 @ 3.22%
2-3 @ 2.54%
0-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Stevenage

Oxford United
81.6%
Draw
8.2%
Stevenage
10.2%
49
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Stevenage
1-3
Oxford Utd
Reid (15')
Butler (65')
Leigh (23', 55'), Moore (82')
Moore (45+4'), Beadle (90+5')
Oct 5, 2021 7.45pm
Group Stage
Oxford Utd
1-2
Stevenage
Agyei (11')
Henry (62')
Reid (75'), Norris (90')
Aug 29, 2017 7.45pm
-
Stevenage
2-6
Oxford Utd
Beautyman (19'), Samuel (82')
Conlon (49')
Henry (30'), Hall (43', 52'), Obika (50'), Rothwell (55'), Payne (64')
Xemi (53')
Mar 25, 2016 3pm
Oxford Utd
1-1
Stevenage
Sercombe (56')
MacDonald (46')
Lundstram (16')
Harrison (69')
Parrett (28'), Jones (45'), Pritchard (95')
Oct 31, 2015 3pm
Stevenage
1-5
Oxford Utd
Whelpdale (17')
McCombe (27'), Tonge (68')
Taylor (13', 72'), Serecombe (27' pen.), MacDonald (66'), Roofe (75')
MacDonald (44'), Dunkley (45')