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Stevenage
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Lamex Stadium
Burton Albion

Stevenage
1 - 2
Burton Albion

Hemmings (88')
Thompson (75'), Hemmings (90+4')
Butler (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Helm (45+1'), Hamer (76')
Oshilaja (21'), Helm (61'), Hamer (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Stevenage and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stevenage 2-1 Barnsley
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-4 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Stevenage 1-0 Burton Albion

Stevenage's need to earn three points on Saturday is extremely high, and the Boro should be confident of picking up a maximum versus an out-of-form Burton side. The Brewers will be happy to play away from the Pirelli Stadium on the weekend, however we are not expecting a change in fortunes for the visitors in terms of the result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stevenage win with a probability of 53.15%. A draw had a probability of 26% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 20.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stevenage win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.86%) and 2-1 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.07%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 0-1 (7.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
53.15% (-0.354 -0.35) 25.96% (0.043999999999997 0.04) 20.88% (0.308 0.31)
Both teams to score 44.5% (0.27200000000001 0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.02% (0.143 0.14)57.97% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.33% (0.112 0.11)78.67% (-0.113 -0.11)
Stevenage Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.08% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)21.92% (0.091000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.81% (-0.138 -0.14)55.18% (0.137 0.14)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.99% (0.416 0.42)43.01% (-0.417 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.7% (0.348 0.35)79.3% (-0.349 -0.35)
Score Analysis
    Stevenage 53.15%
    Burton Albion 20.89%
    Draw 25.96%
StevenageDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 14.3% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-0 @ 10.86% (-0.11 -0.11)
2-1 @ 9.16% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-1 @ 4.64% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.96% (0.018 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 53.15%
1-1 @ 12.07% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.43% (-0.052 -0.05)
2-2 @ 3.87% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 25.96%
0-1 @ 7.95% (0.047000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 5.09% (0.075 0.08)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.058 0.06)
1-3 @ 1.43% (0.037 0.04)
2-3 @ 1.09% (0.025 0.02)
0-3 @ 0.94% (0.027 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 20.89%

How you voted: Stevenage vs Burton Albion

Stevenage
57.1%
Draw
28.6%
Burton Albion
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Burton Albion
1-2
Stevenage
Oshilaja (7')
Stockton (66'), Oshilaja (77'), Hughes (90+3')
Hemmings (45+1'), Reid (51' pen.)
Evans (0'), Neal (61'), Forster-Caskey (63')
Mar 30, 2015 7.45pm
Oct 25, 2014 3pm
Mar 22, 2011 3pm
Oct 16, 2010 3pm
Stevenage
2-1
Burton Albion
Laird (34' pen.), Holroyd (58')
Roberts (24'), Holroyd (30'), Laird (74'), Bostwick (80')
Foster (70')
Webster (48')
Walker (27'), Stanton (30'), Bolder (30'), Harrad (33')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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