League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

University of Bolton Stadium

Bolton
1 - 1
Portsmouth

Collins (36')
Toal (32'), Santos (88'), Jerome (90+1')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Kamara (7')
Lang (14')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-2 Bolton
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Shrewsbury
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 50.51%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.72%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-2 (6.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Portsmouth
50.51% ( 0.11)	22.54% ( -0)	26.94% ( -0.11)

Both teams to score 61.93% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.77% (

-0.07)

38.22% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.5% (

-0.08)

60.5% (

0.08)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.63% (

0.01)

15.36% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.85% (

0.02)

44.14% (

-0.02)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

-0.11)

26.82% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

-0.15)

62.12% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Bolton Wanderers 50.51%

Portsmouth 26.94%

Draw 22.54%

Bolton Wanderers	Draw	Portsmouth
2-1 @ 9.51% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.72% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 7.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.52% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.83% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.92% Total : 50.51%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.29% Total : 22.54%	1-2 @ 6.68% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 5.42% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.16% Total : 26.94%