League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Memorial Stadium

Bristol Rovers
0 - 2
Bolton

Evans (32'), Thomas (56'), Martin (62'), Connolly (76'), Baxter (90+8'), Taylor (90+8')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Collins (52'), Morley (90+8' pen.)
Iredale (55'), Conteh (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bristol Rovers and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol Rovers

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Bolton 5-2 Reading
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 41.93%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 32.06% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.81%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bristol Rovers	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
32.06% ( -0.13)	26.01% ( -0.04)	41.93% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 53.32% (

0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.05% (

0.13)

50.95% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.18% (

0.12)

72.82% (

-0.11)

Bristol Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.23% (

-0.02)

29.77% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.16% (

-0.02)

65.84% (

0.03)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.93% (

0.15)

24.07% (

-0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.64% (

0.21)

58.36% (

-0.2)

Score Analysis

Bristol Rovers 32.06%

Bolton Wanderers 41.93%

Draw 26%

Bristol Rovers	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 5.26% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.03% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 32.06%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26%	0-1 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.81% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.88% Total : 41.93%