League One Gameweek 43
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Chey Dunkley 3' goal
  • Zak Swanson 35' yellowcard
  • Colby Bishop 42' goal
  • Colby Bishop 77' goal
  • Owen Moxon 79' yellowcard
  • goal Jordan Shipley 29'
  • yellowcard Malvind Benning 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bennett 50'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 89'

Portsmouth vs Shrewsbury Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions
Last game
Apr 2, 2024 8.00pm
Portsmouth 2 - 2 Derby
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Colby Bishop

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 1, 2024 3.00pm
Bristol Rovers 0 - 0 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Daniel Udoh

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result

Portsmouth 62.57% (-0.18)
Draw 20.58% (+0.07)
Shrewsbury Town 16.85% (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.77% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 57.91% (-0.12)
Under 2.5 42.09% (+0.12)
Over 3.5 35.51% (-0.12)
Under 3.5 64.49% (+0.12)
Over 4.5 18.65% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 81.35% (+0.09)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5 87.13% (-0.09)
Under 0.5 12.87% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 60.74% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 39.26% (+0.18)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5 61.71% (+0.06)
Under 0.5 38.29% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 24.96% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 75.04% (-0.06)

Score analysis

Portsmouth 62.56%
Draw 20.58%
Shrewsbury Town 16.85%
Portsmouth
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 10.1% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.94% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.08% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 6.8% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 3.63% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 3.48% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.67% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.49% (-0.02)
5-1 @ 1.43% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 62.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.7% (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.93% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.58%
Shrewsbury Town
0-1 @ 4.73% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 4.66% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 2.27% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.53% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.49% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 16.85%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 22
Dec 16, 2023 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • yellowcard Sean Raggett 12'
  • goal Abu Kamara 45'+2'
  • goal Marlon Pack 62'
  • yellowcard Joe Morrell 72'
  • goal Abu Kamara 84'
  • yellowcard 85'
League One Gameweek 42
Apr 15, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Rob Street 52' goal
  • goal Marlon Pack 82'
League One Gameweek 17
Oct 29, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Fratton Park
  • Zak Swanson 29' goal
  • goal Elliott Bennett 26'
League One Gameweek 35
Feb 22, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Luke Leahy 14' goal
  • Josh Vela 31' redcard
  • goal Denver Hume 29'
  • yellowcard Louis Thompson 69'
  • goal Louis Thompson 84'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 17, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Fratton Park
  • Ryan Tunnicliffe 3' goal
  • Ronan Curtis 20' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Josh Vela 54'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 27, 2021 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Montgomery Waters Meadow
  • Nathanael Ogbeta 52' goal
  • goal Marcus Harness 25'
  • goal John Marquis 36'
  • redcard John Marquis 68'