League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Fratton Park

Portsmouth
3 - 1
Shrewsbury

Dunkley (3' og.), Bishop (42' pen., 77')
Swanson (35'), Moxon (79')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Shipley (29')
Benning (45+3'), Bennett (50'), Flanagan (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Portsmouth and Shrewsbury Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 2-2 Derby
Tuesday, April 2 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Shrewsbury Town

All competitions

Last Game: Bristol Rovers 0-0 Shrewsbury
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 62.57%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 16.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 0-1 (4.73%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Portsmouth in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portsmouth.

Result
Portsmouth	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
62.57% ( -0.17)	20.58% ( 0.07)	16.85% ( 0.11)

Both teams to score 53.77% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.91% (

-0.12)

42.09% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.51% (

-0.12)

64.49% (

0.12)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.13% (

-0.09)

12.87% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.74% (

-0.18)

39.26% (

0.18)

Shrewsbury Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.71% (

0.05)

38.29% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.96% (

0.05)

75.04% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Portsmouth 62.56%

Shrewsbury Town 16.85%

Draw 20.58%

Portsmouth	Draw	Shrewsbury Town
2-0 @ 10.35% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.94% ( 0) 3-0 @ 7.08% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.26% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.67% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.34% Total : 62.56%	1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.58%	0-1 @ 4.73% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.66% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.27% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.17% Total : 16.85%