Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-0 Peterborough
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One
Saturday, May 4 at 7.45pm in League One
We said: Peterborough United 2-2 Oxford United
Peterborough's array of attacking talent will undoubtedly cause Oxford problems in Wednesday's second leg, but with the U's unbeaten in four away matches, we think that they will hold Posh to a draw to secure their place at Wembley. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 48.02%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.05% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-2 (7.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.32%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterborough United | Draw | Oxford United |
48.02% ( -4.97) | 22.93% ( 1.27) | 29.05% ( 3.69) |
| Both teams to score 62.28% ( -1.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
