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Peterborough United
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Weston Homes Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Peterborough
4 - 1
Fleetwood

Mothersille (17'), Collins (81'), Clarke-Harris (90+5', 90+6')
(89')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lawal (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

We said: Peterborough United 2-1 Fleetwood Town

After Saturday's disappointment at Oxford, Peterborough cannot afford any more slip ups in the race for automatic promotion, starting against League Two-bound Fleetwood on Tuesday. The Cod Army were relatively-comfortable victors over Northampton last time out, but we do not envisage Adam's men making it back-to-back results at Weston Homes Stadium. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
73.28% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01) 15.53% (0.0080000000000009 0.01) 11.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.11% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)30.89% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
47.74% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)52.26% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.74% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)7.26% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.7% (-0.027999999999992 -0.03)26.29% (0.029 0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.03% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)38.97% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.3% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)75.69% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Peterborough United 73.28%
    Fleetwood Town 11.19%
    Draw 15.53%
Peterborough UnitedDrawFleetwood Town
2-0 @ 9.73% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 8.51% (0.0029999999999983 0)
3-1 @ 8.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
1-0 @ 7.42% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
4-0 @ 5.58% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-1 @ 5.26% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-2 @ 3.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.93% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-1 @ 2.76% (-0.004 -0)
4-2 @ 2.48% (-0.004 -0)
5-2 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
6-0 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
6-1 @ 1.21% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 73.28%
1-1 @ 6.99% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.83% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 15.53%
1-2 @ 3.29% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 2.67% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 1.36% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 1.26% (0.0010000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 1.04%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 11.19%

How you voted: Peterborough vs Fleetwood

Peterborough United
78.6%
Draw
11.9%
Fleetwood Town
9.5%
42
Head to Head
Dec 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 22
Fleetwood
0-1
Peterborough

Vela (13'), Lawal (55')
Collins (42')
Feb 14, 2023 7.45pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Apr 2, 2021 3pm
Sep 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 2
Peterborough
2-1
Fleetwood
Taylor (90+1'), Szmodics (90+5')
Kent (49'), Thompson (63')
Camps (55')
Burns (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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