League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Weston Homes Stadium

Peterborough
4 - 1
Fleetwood

Mothersille (17'), Collins (81'), Clarke-Harris (90+5', 90+6')
(89')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lawal (1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Peterborough United and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Peterborough United

All competitions

League One

Last Game: Oxford Utd 5-0 Peterborough
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Fleetwood Town

All competitions

Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 73.28%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 11.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 3-0 (8.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.99%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 1-2 (3.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
73.28% ( -0.01)	15.53% ( 0.01)	11.19% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 56.6% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.11% (

-0.03)

30.89% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

47.74% (

-0.04)

52.26% (

0.05)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

92.74% (

-0.01)

7.26% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

73.7% (

-0.03)

26.29% (

0.03)

Fleetwood Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.03% (

-0.02)

38.97% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.3% (

-0.02)

75.69% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 73.28%

Fleetwood Town 11.19%

Draw 15.53%

Peterborough United	Draw	Fleetwood Town
2-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.17% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.51% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.02% ( -0) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 5.58% ( -0) 4-1 @ 5.26% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.78% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.93% ( -0) 5-1 @ 2.76% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.48% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.3% ( -0) 6-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.87% Total : 73.28%	1-1 @ 6.99% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.32% ( -0) 0-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0) Other @ 0.2% Total : 15.53%	1-2 @ 3.29% ( 0) 0-1 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.26% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 1.58% Total : 11.19%