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League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Northampton Town

Fleetwood
2 - 0
Northampton

Omochere (5'), Lawal (30')
Mayor (65'), Broom (71'), Lawal (84')
FT(HT: 2-0)

McGowan (17'), Bowie (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Northampton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackpool 1-0 Fleetwood
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Carlisle
Saturday, April 6 at 3pm in League One

We said: Fleetwood Town 0-2 Northampton Town

While the hosts certainly have far more to play for in Saturday's contest, it is the Cobblers who are enjoying an impressive end to the campaign while Fleetwood are failing to build any momentum in their unlikely survival bid. Despite home advantage and the need for three points, we envisage Charlie Adam's side succumbing to another defeat at Highbury at the weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 50.21%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 26.21% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.02%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-2 (6.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
50.21% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12) 23.57% (0.037000000000003 0.04) 26.21% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 57.64% (-0.052 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.42% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)43.58% (0.101 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.03% (-0.1 -0.1)65.97% (0.099999999999994 0.1)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.55% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)17.45% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.08% (-0.143 -0.14)47.91% (0.14299999999999 0.14)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)30.17% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.68% (0.009999999999998 0.01)66.32% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 50.21%
    Northampton Town 26.21%
    Draw 23.57%
Fleetwood TownDrawNorthampton Town
2-1 @ 9.61% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.19% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.02% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.04% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.46% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.83%
Total : 50.21%
1-1 @ 11.01% (0.02 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.76% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 5.26% (0.024 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 23.57%
1-2 @ 6.6% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
0-1 @ 6.31% (0.03 0.03)
0-2 @ 3.78% (0.019 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.64% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.51% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 26.21%

Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Northampton
3-0
Fleetwood
Pinnock (27', 90'), Hoskins (31' pen.)
Bowie (49')

Mayor (22')
Jan 26, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 1, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Northampton
1-0
Fleetwood
Bolger (47')
Sowerby (13'), McWilliams (43'), Harriman (60'), Arnold (90+3')

Coutts (8'), Camps (34'), Whelan (66')
Mar 24, 2018 3pm
Fleetwood
2-0
Northampton
Dempsey (18'), Bolger (83')
Sowerby (70')

Luckassen (90')
Aug 12, 2017 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


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