League One

League One | Gameweek 43

Apr 6, 2024 at 3pm UK

Sixfields Stadium

Northampton
2 - 0
Carlisle

Bowie (33'), Koiki (90+4')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Carlisle United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 2-0 Port Vale
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carlisle United

All competitions

Last Game: Carlisle 1-3 Lincoln
Monday, April 1 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 45.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Northampton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Northampton Town.

Result
Northampton Town	Draw	Carlisle United
45.02% ( -0.02)	25.68% ( 0)	29.3% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 53.05% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.29% (

50.7% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.39% (

72.6% (

-0)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.52% (

-0.01)

22.48% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.97% (

-0.01)

56.03% (

0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.43% (

0.01)

31.57% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.03% (

0.02)

67.97% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Northampton Town 45.02%

Carlisle United 29.3%

Draw 25.68%

Northampton Town	Draw	Carlisle United
1-0 @ 10.59% 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.61% 4-1 @ 1.69% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.02%	1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0) 1-2 @ 7.04% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.72% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) Other @ 2.82% Total : 29.3%