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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 22.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.26%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 2-1 (5.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 22.44% ( | 22.38% ( | 55.18% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.04% ( | 41.96% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.63% ( | 64.37% ( |
| Bristol Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.58% ( | 32.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.06% ( | 68.94% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.88% ( | 15.11% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.32% ( | 43.67% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol Rovers | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 2-1 @ 5.87% ( 1-0 @ 5.52% ( 2-0 @ 3.11% ( 3-1 @ 2.21% ( 3-2 @ 2.08% ( 3-0 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 22.44% | 1-1 @ 10.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 3-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.37% | 1-2 @ 9.85% ( 0-1 @ 9.26% ( 0-2 @ 8.75% ( 1-3 @ 6.21% ( 0-3 @ 5.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.5% ( 1-4 @ 2.93% ( 0-4 @ 2.6% ( 2-4 @ 1.65% ( 1-5 @ 1.11% ( 0-5 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.83% Total : 55.18% |