Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol Rovers win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Cambridge United had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.77%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.22%), while for a Cambridge United win it was 0-1 (8.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol Rovers in this match.