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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 62.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.8% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 17.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.27%) and 1-2 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 17.05% ( | 20.81% ( | 62.15% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.27% ( | 42.73% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.87% ( | 65.13% ( |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.57% ( | 38.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.82% ( | 75.18% ( |
| Peterborough United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.8% ( | 13.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.08% ( | 39.92% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Cheltenham Town | Draw | Peterborough United |
| 1-0 @ 4.85% ( 2-1 @ 4.7% ( 2-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-2 @ 1.52% ( 3-1 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 17.05% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.07% ( 2-2 @ 4.76% ( 3-3 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 20.81% | 0-2 @ 10.4% ( 0-1 @ 10.27% ( 1-2 @ 9.95% ( 0-3 @ 7.02% ( 1-3 @ 6.72% ( 0-4 @ 3.56% ( 1-4 @ 3.4% ( 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 2-4 @ 1.63% ( 0-5 @ 1.44% ( 1-5 @ 1.38% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 62.15% |