Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 53.59%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 21.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.07%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.67%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 0-1 (7.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.