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Championship header 2

League One
Cheltenham Town
League One | Gameweek 42
Apr 1, 2024 at 3pm UK
Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Exeter City

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Exeter

Williams (51')
Kinsella (39'), Thomas (59'), Nuttall (60'), Long (84'), Harrop (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Harris (56'), Cole (90' pen.)
Sweeney (42')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-2 Cheltenham
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Exeter 1-1 Charlton
Friday, March 29 at 3pm in League One

We said: Cheltenham Town 0-1 Exeter City

 Both sides have struggled for goals this season, scoring just 32 and 34 respectively, and we expect those problems to continue with a low-scoring affair in this one. Exeter won 1-0 in the reverse fixture of this clash in September, and we believe this one will end in the same result. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
39.58% (0.212 0.21) 26.03% (-0.037000000000003 -0.04) 34.39% (-0.18 -0.18)
Both teams to score 53.91% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.52% (0.123 0.12)50.48% (-0.128 -0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.59% (0.106 0.11)72.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (0.167 0.17)25.08% (-0.173 -0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (0.236 0.24)59.76% (-0.241 -0.24)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.95% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)28.04% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.3% (-0.067 -0.07)63.7% (0.061 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Cheltenham Town 39.58%
    Exeter City 34.39%
    Draw 26.02%
Cheltenham TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-1 @ 8.55% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.73% (0.032 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.033 0.03)
3-0 @ 3.1% (0.03 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% (0.017 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.03% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% (0.011 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-1 @ 8.94% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.68% (-0.045 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.015 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%

How you voted: Cheltenham vs Exeter

Cheltenham Town
20.0%
Draw
30.0%
Exeter City
50.0%
10
Head to Head
Sep 16, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Exeter
1-0
Cheltenham
Watts (68')
Wildschut (38'), Scott (75'), Carroll (87')

Williams (18'), Williams (61')
Mar 18, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 37
Cheltenham
3-1
Exeter
Keena (17'), Taylor (74'), May (79')
Key (69')
> Preview
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Exeter
0-1
Cheltenham
N'Lundulu (56')
Long (77'), Southwood (79'), Williams (80'), Freestone (90+3')
Aug 9, 2022 7.45pm
First Round
Cheltenham
0-7
Exeter

Lloyd (38'), Horton (63')
Nombe (23', 35'), Collins (26'), Jay (28'), Sparkes (45+1'), Kite (50'), Coley (84')
> Preview
Oct 5, 2021 7pm
Group Stage
Cheltenham
2-2
Exeter
 Exeter win 3-2 on penalties
Chapman (37'), Miles (70')
Daniel (8'), Collins (38')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030
> League One Full Table


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