League One
Gameweek
42
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-
Liam Kinsella
39'
-
Ben Williams
51'
-
Jordan Thomas
59'
-
Joe Nuttall
60'
-
Sean Long
84'
-
Josh Harrop
86'
-
Pierce Sweeney
42'
-
Luke Harris
56'
-
Reece Cole
90'
Cheltenham Town vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.58%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.55%) and 2-0 (6.73%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Exeter City would win this match.
Result
Cheltenham Town
39.58%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
26.03%
▼
(-0.04)
Exeter City
34.39%
▼
(-0.18)
Both Teams to Score:
53.91%
▲
(+0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
49.52%
▲
(+0.13)
Under 2.5
50.48%
▼
(-0.13)
Over 3.5
27.59%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
72.4%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
13.04%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 4.5
86.96%
▼
(-0.08)
Cheltenham Town Goals
Over 0.5
74.92%
▲
(+0.17)
Under 0.5
25.08%
▼
(-0.18)
Over 1.5
40.23%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 1.5
59.76%
▼
(-0.25)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5
71.95%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
28.04%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
36.3%
▼
(-0.07)
Under 1.5
63.7%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Cheltenham Town
39.58%
Draw
26.02%
Exeter City
34.39%
Cheltenham Town
1-0
@
9.73%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
2-1 @ 8.55% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 6.73% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.94% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.1% ▲ (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.51% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.07% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 39.58%
Draw
1-1
@
12.36%
▼
(-0.03)
0-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
0-0 @ 7.03% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.44% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 26.02%
Exeter City
0-1
@
8.94%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%
1-2 @ 7.86% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 5.68% ▼ (-0.05)
1-3 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.41% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 2.31% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 34.39%
Head to Head
League One
Gameweek
8
-
Yanic Wildschut
38'
-
Caleb Watts
68'
-
James Scott
75'
-
Tom Carroll
87'
-
Ben Williams
18'
-
Josh Williams
61'
League One
Gameweek
37
-
Aidan Keena
17'
-
Caleb Taylor
74'
-
Alfie May
79'
-
Josh Key
69'
League One
Gameweek
5
-
Dan N'Lundulu
56'
-
Sean Long
77'
-
Luke Southwood
79'
-
Ben Williams
80'
-
Lewis Freestone
90'+3'
EFL Cup
-
George Lloyd
38'
-
Grant Horton
63'
-
Sam Nombe
23'
-
Archie Collins
26'
-
Matt Jay
28'
-
Sam Nombe
35'
-
Jack Sparkes
45'+1'
-
Harry Kite
50'
-
Josh Coley
84'
EFL Trophy
-
Ellis Chapman
37'
-
Felix Miles
70'
-
Colin Daniel
8'
-
Archie Collins
38'
League Two
Gameweek
36
-
Jake Taylor
81'
-
Andrew Williams
90'+1'