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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 38.04%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 36.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.41%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (8.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 36.31% ( | 25.65% ( | 38.04% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.43% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.37% ( | 48.63% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.25% ( | 70.75% ( |
| Exeter City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( | 26.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( | 61.06% ( |
| Charlton Athletic Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.94% ( | 25.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.26% ( | 59.74% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Exeter City | Draw | Charlton Athletic |
| 1-0 @ 8.78% ( 2-1 @ 8.18% ( 2-0 @ 5.91% ( 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 3-0 @ 2.65% ( 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 4-1 @ 1.24% Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.31% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 2-2 @ 5.66% ( 3-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.65% | 0-1 @ 9.03% ( 1-2 @ 8.41% ( 0-2 @ 6.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.88% ( 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 1.75% Total : 38.04% |