League One Gameweek 29
Cheltenham
Apr 9, 2024 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle
  • yellowcard Paul Huntington 7'
  • goal Sam Lavelle 42'
  • yellowcard Jack Robinson 78'
  • yellowcard Sam Lavelle 85'

Cheltenham Town vs Carlisle United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Leyton Orient 3 - 1 Cheltenham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Liam Sercombe

Carlisle United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2024 3.00pm
Northampton 2 - 0 Carlisle
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Jordan Gibson

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 46.02%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 27.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.6%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.

Result

Cheltenham Town 46.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 26.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Carlisle United 27.53% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.59% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 54.66% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 75.99% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.26% ▼ (-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 76.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 23.7% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 42.17% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 57.83% ▼ (-0.01)

Carlisle United Goals

Over 0.5 65% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 35% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 28.25% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 71.74% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 46.01%
Draw 26.44%
Carlisle United 27.53%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 11.94%
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.6%
3-1 @ 4.33% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.12%
3-2 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.56%
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 46.01%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.53%
0-0 @ 8.3% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.74% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.44%
Carlisle United
0-1 @ 8.71% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.58%
0-2 @ 4.57% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.66% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 27.53%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 23
Carlisle
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
Cheltenham
  • Sam Lavelle 38' yellowcard
  • Owen Moxon 67' yellowcard
  • goal Liam Sercombe 27'
  • yellowcard Elliott Bonds 40'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 82'
  • yellowcard Sean Long 90'+5'
League Two Gameweek 28
Cheltenham
Apr 27, 2021 7.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
Carlisle
  • Chris Hussey 56' goal
  • goal Joshua Kayode 33'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hayden 73'
  • yellowcard Jon Mellish 87'
  • yellowcard Nick Anderton 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 12
Carlisle
Nov 14, 2020 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 2
FT Brunton Park
Cheltenham
  • Jon Mellish 45'+3' goal
  • goal Will Boyle 15'
  • goal Conor Thomas 36'
League Two Gameweek 33
Carlisle
Feb 11, 2020 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Brunton Park
Cheltenham
  • Gethin Jones 46' yellowcard
  • goal Reuben Reid 26'
  • yellowcard Ryan Broom 30'
League Two Gameweek 4
Cheltenham
Aug 20, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Carlisle
  • Ben Tozer 7' yellowcard
  • Gavin Reilly 15' goal
  • Luke Varney 45' goal
  • yellowcard Stefan Scougall 35'
  • yellowcard Jack Iredale 43'
  • yellowcard Nathan Thomas 56'
League Two Gameweek 29
Carlisle
Jan 19, 2019 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Brunton Park (Carlisle, Cumbria)
Cheltenham
  • Jamie Devitt 49' goal
  • Hallam Hope 56' goal
  • yellowcard Craig Alcock 35'

Form Data

Leyton Orient 3 - 1 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Exeter
Fleetwood 1 - 2 Cheltenham
Barnsley 0 - 0 Cheltenham
Oxford Utd 2 - 1 Cheltenham
Cheltenham 1 - 3 Charlton
Northampton 2 - 0 Carlisle
Carlisle 1 - 3 Lincoln
Peterborough 1 - 3 Carlisle
Carlisle 2 - 2 Stevenage
Shrewsbury 1 - 0 Carlisle
Carlisle 2 - 3 Barnsley