League One Gameweek 18
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Jasper Moon 34' yellowcard
  • Steve Seddon 45'+4' goal
  • Aristote Nsiala 50' yellowcard
  • Max Crocombe 86' yellowcard
  • goal Matt Taylor 51'
  • goal Curtis Davies 71'
  • yellowcard Will Ferry 84'

Burton Albion vs Cheltenham Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Stevenage 1 - 2 Burton Albion
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Mark Helm

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Cheltenham 1 - 3 Bristol Rovers
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Liam Sercombe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result

Burton Albion 32.97% (+0.02)
Draw 27.51% (-0.01)
Cheltenham Town 39.52% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.93% (+0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.32% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 56.68% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 22.36% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 77.64% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 9.73% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 90.27% (-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5 67.95% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.05% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.48% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 68.52% (-0.03)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 72.01% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 27.99% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 36.37% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.63% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Burton Albion 32.96%
Draw 27.5%
Cheltenham Town 39.52%
Burton Albion
1-0 @ 10.2% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 7.39% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.79% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 32.96%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.99%
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.71% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.5%
Cheltenham Town
0-1 @ 11.42% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28%
0-2 @ 7.27% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 3.51%
0-3 @ 3.09% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12%
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 39.52%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 36
Mar 2, 2024 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Will Ferry 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Sweeney 35'
  • yellowcard Joe Powell 44'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 50'
  • yellowcard Max Crocombe 71'
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Pirelli Stadium
  • Victor Adeboyejo 77' goal
League One Gameweek 27
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Matt Blair 16' yellowcard
  • Callum Wright 21' goal
  • goal Daniel Jebbison 51'
  • yellowcard Deji Oshilaja 64'
  • yellowcard Tom Hamer 78'
League One Gameweek 5
Aug 27, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Lucas Akins 67' goal
  • Tom Hamer 82' yellowcard
  • John Brayford 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Callum Wright 28'
  • yellowcard George Lloyd 64'
League Two
Feb 7, 2015 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Troy Brown 45' yellowcard
  • Wes Burns 55' goal
  • goal Stuart Beavon 21'
  • goal Adam McGurk 36'
  • goal Philip Edwards 49'
  • yellowcard Robbie Weir 81'

Build-up

Match Preview