League One

League One | Gameweek 18

Apr 16, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 2
Cheltenham

Seddon (45+4')
Moon (34'), Nsiala (50'), Crocombe (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Taylor (51'), Davies (71')
Ferry (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Cheltenham Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions

Last Game: Stevenage 1-2 Burton Albion
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Cheltenham 1-3 Bristol Rovers
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.52%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.27%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (10.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.

Result
Burton Albion	Draw	Cheltenham Town
32.97% ( 0.02)	27.51% ( -0)	39.52% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 48.93% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.32% (

0.02)

56.68% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.36% (

0.02)

77.64% (

-0.02)

Burton Albion Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.95% (

0.02)

32.05% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.48% (

0.02)

68.52% (

-0.02)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.01% (

0.01)

27.99% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.37% (

0.01)

63.63% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Burton Albion 32.96%

Cheltenham Town 39.52%

Draw 27.5%

Burton Albion	Draw	Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 10.2% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.39% ( 0) 2-0 @ 5.81% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.8% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.2% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 0) Other @ 2.77% Total : 32.96%	1-1 @ 12.99% 0-0 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.5%	0-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 8.28% 0-2 @ 7.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.51% 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.12% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 1.85% Total : 39.52%