League One Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
  • Liam Sercombe 15' goal
  • Elliott Bonds 53' yellowcard
  • Curtis Davies 75' yellowcard
  • Josh Harrop 86' yellowcard
  • Sean Long 87' yellowcard
  • goal Joe Taylor 40'
  • goal Freddie Draper 52'

Cheltenham Town vs Lincoln City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Burton Albion 1 - 2 Cheltenham
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Liam Sercombe

Lincoln City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Lincoln
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Joe Taylor

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result

Cheltenham Town 25.75% (-0.01)
Draw 26.3% (-0.01)
Lincoln City 47.95% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.66% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 44.8% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 55.2% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 23.57% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 76.43% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 10.46% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 89.54% (-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5 63.22% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 36.78% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 26.43% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 73.57% (+0.01)

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5 76.96% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 23.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 43.14% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 56.86% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Cheltenham Town 25.75%
Draw 26.3%
Lincoln City 47.95%
Cheltenham Town
1-0 @ 8.48% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.24% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 2.08%
3-2 @ 1.52%
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.8%
Total : 25.75%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.44%
0-0 @ 8.47% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.3%
Lincoln City
0-1 @ 12.43%
1-2 @ 9.13% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.13% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 4.47% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.24% (+0.01)
0-4 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 47.95%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Lasse Sorensen 5' goal
  • Adam Jackson 11' yellowcard
  • Mark Kennedy 12' yellowcard
  • Lasse Sorensen 21' goal
  • Teddy Bishop 44' yellowcard
  • Ethan Hamilton 81' yellowcard
  • Ethan Erhahon 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Harris 77'
  • yellowcard Owen Bevan 81'
League One Gameweek 40
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT LNER Stadium
  • Ben House 42' goal
  • Ben House 79' goal
League One Gameweek 22
Mar 7, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Jonny-Rocks Stadium
League One Gameweek 44
Apr 18, 2022 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 3 0
FT
  • Morgan Whittaker 4' goal
  • Anthony Scully 17' goal
  • Morgan Whittaker 19' goal
  • yellowcard Aaron Ramsey 8'
  • yellowcard Lewis Freestone 57'
  • yellowcard Alfie May 81'
League One Gameweek 22
Dec 11, 2021 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Alfie May 17' goal
  • Sean Long 59' yellowcard
  • Charlie Raglan 69' yellowcard
  • Alfie May 71' yellowcard
  • Andrew Williams 90'+3' yellowcard
  • Matt Blair 90'+5' goal
  • Matthew Pollock 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Liam Bridcutt 65'
  • goal Teddy Bishop 69'
  • yellowcard Conor McGrandles 75'
  • goal Teddy Bishop 90'+1'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 13, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Sincil Bank Stadium (Lincoln, Lincolnshire)
  • Shay McCartan 18' goal
  • Shay McCartan 64' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jordan Tillson 37'
  • goal George Lloyd 73'