League One

League One | Gameweek 45

Apr 20, 2024 at 3pm UK

Jonny-Rocks Stadium

Cheltenham
1 - 2
Lincoln

Sercombe (15' pen.)
Bonds (53'), Davies (75'), Harrop (86'), Long (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Taylor (40'), Draper (52')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Cheltenham Town and Lincoln City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cheltenham Town

All competitions

Last Game: Burton Albion 1-2 Cheltenham
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Lincoln City

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 0-1 Lincoln
Tuesday, April 16 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.

Result
Cheltenham Town	Draw	Lincoln City
25.75% ( -0.01)	26.3% ( -0)	47.95% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.66% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.8% (

0.01)

55.2% (

-0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.57% (

0.01)

76.43% (

-0.01)

Cheltenham Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.22% (

-0)

36.78% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.43% (

-0)

73.57% (

Lincoln City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.96% (

0.01)

23.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.14% (

0.02)

56.86% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cheltenham Town 25.75%

Lincoln City 47.95%

Draw 26.3%

Cheltenham Town	Draw	Lincoln City
1-0 @ 8.48% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.22% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.24% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.08% 3-2 @ 1.52% 3-0 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 25.75%	1-1 @ 12.44% 0-0 @ 8.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.3%	0-1 @ 12.43% 1-2 @ 9.13% ( 0) 0-2 @ 9.13% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.47% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.64% ( 0) Other @ 2.8% Total : 47.95%