Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 47.95%. A draw had a probability of 26.3% and a win for Cheltenham Town had a probability of 25.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.44%), while for a Cheltenham Town win it was 1-0 (8.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lincoln City would win this match.