League One

League One | 1st Leg

May 4, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 0
Peterborough

(Oxford United win 2-1 on aggregate)

Moore (53')
Rodrigues (30'), Bennett (43')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Mason-Clark (76'), Katongo (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Oxford United and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Oxford Utd
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Peterborough United

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 3-3 Bolton
Saturday, April 27 at 12.30pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
36.79% ( -0.26)	23.82% ( 0.06)	39.39% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 62.13% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.01% (

-0.31)

39.99% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.64% (

-0.32)

62.35% (

0.32)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.19% (

-0.27)

21.81% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.98% (

-0.41)

55.02% (

0.42)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.46% (

-0.04)

20.54% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.95% (

-0.06)

53.05% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Oxford United 36.79%

Peterborough United 39.39%

Draw 23.81%

Oxford United	Draw	Peterborough United
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 6.82% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.17% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.64% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 36.79%	1-1 @ 10.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 6.51% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.48% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.81%	1-2 @ 8.55% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.09% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 5.61% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.43% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 1.78% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.93% Total : 39.39%