League One
May 4, 2024 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Ruben Rodrigues 30' yellowcard
  • Joe Bennett 43' yellowcard
  • Elliott Moore 53' goal
  • yellowcard Ephron Mason-Clark 76'
  • yellowcard Jadel Katongo 90'+3'

Oxford United vs Peterborough United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
Exeter 1 - 2 Oxford Utd
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
Peterborough 3 - 3 Bolton
Goals scored
90
Top scorer
Ephron Mason-Clark

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 36.79% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.09%) and 0-2 (5.61%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Oxford United 36.79% (-0.27)
Draw 23.82% (+0.07)
Peterborough United 39.39% (+0.21)

Both Teams to Score: 

62.13% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 60.01% (-0.32)
Under 2.5 39.99% (+0.32)
Over 3.5 37.64% (-0.33)
Under 3.5 62.35% (+0.33)
Over 4.5 20.28% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 79.72% (+0.26)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 78.19% (-0.28)
Under 0.5 21.81% (+0.28)
Over 1.5 44.98% (-0.42)
Under 1.5 55.02% (+0.42)

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5 79.46% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 20.54% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 46.95% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 53.05% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Oxford United 36.79%
Draw 23.81%
Peterborough United 39.39%
Oxford United
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 6.82% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 5.19% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.59% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.26% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.79%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.79% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 6.51% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 4.48% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.81%
Peterborough United
1-2 @ 8.55% (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.09% (+0.10)
0-2 @ 5.61% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 4.51% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 3.43% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.96% (+0.04)
1-4 @ 1.78% (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.36% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 39.39%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
5
0
HT : 3 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Mark Harris 19' goal
  • Josh Murphy 31' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 38' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 58' goal
  • Billy Bodin 89' goal
  • yellowcard Jadel Katongo 18'
League One Gameweek 21
Dec 9, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
  • Hector Kyprianou 23' goal
  • Ricky Jade-Jones 34' goal
  • Peter Kioso 60' yellowcard
  • Ryan De Havilland 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Billy Bodin 63'
League One Gameweek 39
Apr 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Weston Homes Stadium
League One Gameweek 16
Oct 22, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Billy Bodin 52' goal
  • goal Jack Taylor 7'
  • goal Kwame Poku 31'
Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 27, 2021 5.45pm
League One Gameweek 33
Mar 2, 2021 7.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Alex Rodriguez 76' yellowcard
  • Elliott Moore 77' yellowcard