League One

League One | Gameweek 46

Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

St James Park

Exeter
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Alli (52')
Aimson (45+6'), Harris (90+3')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Harris (12'), Brannagan (40' pen.)
Stevens (84'), Cumming (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Exeter City	Draw	Oxford United
30.57% ( -0.01)	25.35% ( 0)	44.07% ( 0)

Both teams to score 54.81% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.27% (

-0.01)

48.72% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.16% (

-0)

70.83% (

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

-0)

29.66% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

-0.01)

65.7% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.92% (

-0)

22.07%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.57% (

55.42% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Exeter City 30.57%

Oxford United 44.07%

Draw 25.35%

Exeter City	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 7.96% 2-1 @ 7.31% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.84% 3-1 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.24% 3-0 @ 1.96% ( -0) Other @ 3.32% Total : 30.57%	1-1 @ 12.02% 0-0 @ 6.55% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.52% 3-3 @ 1.13% Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.35%	0-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.47% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.57% 0-3 @ 3.76% 2-3 @ 2.78% 1-4 @ 1.73% 0-4 @ 1.42% 2-4 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.32% Total : 44.07%