League One Gameweek 46
Exeter
Apr 27, 2024 12.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT St James Park
Oxford Utd
  • Will Aimson 45'+6' yellowcard
  • Millenic Alli 52' goal
  • Luke Harris 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Mark Harris 12'
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 40'
  • yellowcard Finley Stevens 84'
  • yellowcard Jamie Cumming 89'

Exeter City vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 20, 2024 2.00pm
Northampton 1 - 2 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2024 8.00pm
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Stevenage
Goals scored
83
Top scorer
Mark Harris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result

Exeter City 30.57% ▼ (-0.01)
Draw 25.35% ▲ (+0.01)
Oxford United 44.07% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.81% ▼ (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 48.72% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 3.5 29.16% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 3.5 70.83% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 4.5 14.09% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 4.5 85.9%

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 70.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.66% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 1.5 34.29% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 65.7% ▲ (+0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 77.92% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 0.5 22.07%
Over 1.5 44.57% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 55.42% ▼ (-0.01)

Score analysis

Exeter City 30.57%
Draw 25.35%
Oxford United 44.07%
Exeter City
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.96% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.57%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.55% ▲ (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 9.89% ▲ (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 7.47% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.07%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
Sep 23, 2023 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Exeter
  • Ruben Rodrigues 8' goal
  • Sam Long 72' yellowcard
  • Cameron Brannagan 83' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Will Aimson 82'
League One Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
Jan 1, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Kassam Stadium
Exeter
  • goal Sam Nombe 79'
FA Cup
Oxford Utd
Nov 26, 2022 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Exeter
  • Matt Taylor 9' goal
  • Billy Bodin 79' goal
  • Cameron Brannagan 85' goal
  • Billy Bodin 88' goal
  • goal Matt Jay 89'
League One Gameweek 15
Exeter
Oct 15, 2022 3.00pm
2
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Jevani Brown 65' goal
  • Sonny Cox 90'+2' goal
  • goal Cameron Brannagan 12'
  • goal Sam Long 31'
  • goal Kyle Joseph 44'
  • goal Kyle Joseph 54'
EFL Trophy Gameweek 2
Exeter
Dec 4, 2019 7.00pm
0
0
ET St James Park (Exeter, Devon)
Oxford Utd
  • Jordan Tillson 30' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jamie Mackie 61'
League Two
Exeter
Feb 23, 2016 7.45pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
Oxford Utd
  • Jordan Tillson 45' yellowcard
  • Alex Nicholls 77' goal
  • goal Chey Dunkley 8'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 41'
  • goal Jordan Bowery 59'
  • goal Alex MacDonald 62'

Form Data

Northampton 1 - 2 Exeter
Port Vale 2 - 4 Exeter
Leyton Orient 2 - 2 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 0 Stevenage
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 1 Charlton
Oxford Utd 1 - 1 Stevenage
Oxford Utd 0 - 1 Lincoln
Oxford Utd 5 - 0 Peterborough
Burton Albion 0 - 4 Oxford Utd
Oxford Utd 4 - 0 Fleetwood
Shrewsbury 1 - 1 Oxford Utd