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Exeter City
League One | Gameweek 46
Apr 27, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
St James Park
Oxford United

Exeter
1 - 2
Oxford Utd

Alli (52')
Aimson (45+6'), Harris (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Harris (12'), Brannagan (40' pen.)
Stevens (84'), Cumming (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Exeter City and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Northampton 1-2 Exeter
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in League One
Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Stevenage
Friday, April 19 at 8pm in League One

We said: Exeter City 1-3 Oxford United

While Exeter are coming into this match on a brilliant run of nine games without defeat, the added incentive of a playoff place for Oxford Utd makes us believe they will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 30.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.08%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-0 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Oxford United would win this match.

Result
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
30.57% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 25.35% (0.0010000000000012 0) 44.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Both teams to score 54.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.27% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)48.72% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.16% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)70.83% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.34% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)29.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.29% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)65.7% (0.0039999999999907 0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57% (0.0020000000000024 0)55.42% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Exeter City 30.57%
    Oxford United 44.07%
    Draw 25.35%
Exeter CityDrawOxford United
1-0 @ 7.96%
2-1 @ 7.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 4.84%
3-1 @ 2.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.24%
3-0 @ 1.96% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 30.57%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.55% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.52%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 9.89% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-2 @ 9.08% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 7.47% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.57%
0-3 @ 3.76%
2-3 @ 2.78%
1-4 @ 1.73%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 44.07%

How you voted: Exeter vs Oxford Utd

Exeter City
25.0%
Draw
6.3%
Oxford United
68.8%
16
Head to Head
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 9
Oxford Utd
3-0
Exeter
Rodrigues (8'), Brannagan (83' pen., 90+4' pen.)
Long (72')

Aimson (82')
Jan 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 25
Oxford Utd
0-1
Exeter
Nombe (79')
Nov 26, 2022 3pm
Second Round
Oxford Utd
4-1
Exeter
Taylor (9'), Bodin (79', 88'), Brannagan (85')
Jay (89')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Exeter
2-4
Oxford Utd
Brown (65'), Cox (90+2')
Brannagan (12'), Long (31'), Joseph (44', 54')
Dec 4, 2019 7pm
Round of 32
Exeter
0-0
Oxford Utd
(Aggregate 0-0 | Exeter win 3-0 on penalties)
Tillson (30')
Mackie (61')
rhs 2.0
Euro 2024 fixtures header
Saturday, June 22
 
5pm
 
8pm
Sunday, June 23
 
8pm
Monday, June 24
 
8pm
 
8pm
Tuesday, June 25
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Wednesday, June 26
 
5pm
 
5pm
 
8pm
 
8pm
Saturday, June 29
Sunday, June 30
Monday, July 1
Tuesday, July 2
Friday, July 5
Saturday, July 6
Tuesday, July 9
Wednesday, July 10
Sunday, July 14
Tables header RHS

Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Germany Germany22006
2 Switzerland Switzerland21104
3 Scotland flag Scotland20111
4 Hungary Hungary20020

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Spain Spain22006
2 Italy Italy21013
3 Albania national flag Albania20111
4 Croatia Croatia20111

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
1 England flag England21104
2 Denmark Denmark20202
3 Slovenia Slovenia20202
4 Serbia Serbia20111

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Netherlands Netherlands21104
2 France France21104
3 Austria Austria21013
4 Poland Poland20020

Group E

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Romania Romania11003
2 Ukraine Ukraine21013
3 Slovakia Slovakia21013
4 Belgium Belgium10010

Group F

TeamPWDLPTS
1 Turkey Turkey11003
2 Portugal Portugal11003
3 Czech Republic Czech Republic10010
4 Georgia Georgia10010


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