MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 14:07:45| >> :300:86500:86500:
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bristol Rovers
Burton Albion
Cambridge United
Carlisle United
Charlton Athletic
Cheltenham Town
Derby logo
Exeter City
Fleetwood Town
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Northampton Town
Oxford United
Peterborough United
Port Vale
Portsmouth
Reading logo
Shrewsbury Town
Stevenage
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Port Vale
League One | Gameweek 44
Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vale Park
Exeter City

Port Vale
2 - 4
Exeter

Chislett (31'), Dipepa (40')
Sang (28')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Alli (57', 89'), Jules (67'), Harris (79')
Alli (7'), Watts (35'), Purrington (41'), Harris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Port Vale 1-1 Exeter City

Port Vale will be targeting three points to boost their survival chances, but we think that the Valiants will have to settle for a draw, with Exeter currently enjoying a seven-game unbeaten run. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawExeter City
37.44% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03) 25.43% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 37.12% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.020000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.34% (0.026000000000003 0.03)47.65% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.15% (0.023 0.02)69.85% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)24.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)59.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.031000000000006 0.03)25.12% (-0.032 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.18% (0.042999999999999 0.04)59.82% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 37.44%
    Exeter City 37.12%
    Draw 25.43%
Port ValeDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 8.7% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 6.04% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.86% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 2.8% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.67% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 0.97% (-0.001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.44%
1-1 @ 12.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.77% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.43%
0-1 @ 8.65% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 8.3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.98% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-3 @ 3.82% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.004 0)
2-3 @ 2.66% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.32% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 0.95% (0.002 0)
2-4 @ 0.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 37.12%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Exeter

Port Vale
66.7%
Draw
8.3%
Exeter City
25.0%
12
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 21
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Aimson (72'), Scott (84')
Aimson (90+1')
Arblaster (29')
Grant (54'), Debrah (85')
Feb 18, 2023 3pm
Nov 5, 2022 3pm
First Round
Port Vale
2-3
Exeter
Politic (25'), Butterworth (87')
Brown (43', 66'), Collins (89')
Aug 6, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 2
Exeter
4-0
Port Vale
Kite (24'), Brown (38' pen., 72'), Nombe (75')
Diabate (30'), Sweeney (35')
May 7, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 46
Exeter
0-1
Port Vale

Stubbs (45+3')
Wilson (36')
Martin (43'), Wilson (45+1'), Stone (84')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CPortsmouth462813578413797
3Bolton WanderersBolton462512986513587
4Peterborough UnitedPeterborough462591289612884
5Oxford UnitedOxford Utd4622111379562377
6Barnsley4621131282641876
7Lincoln CityLincoln4620141265402574
8Blackpool4621101565481773
9Stevenage4619141357461171
10Wycombe WanderersWycombe461714156055565
11Leyton Orient461811175355-265
12Wigan AthleticWigan462010166356762
13Exeter CityExeter461710194661-1561
14Northampton TownNorthampton46179205766-960
15Bristol Rovers46169215268-1657
16Charlton AthleticCharlton461120156465-153
17Reading461611196870-253
18Cambridge UnitedCambridge461212223961-2248
19Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury46139243567-3248
20Burton Albion461210243967-2846
RCheltenham TownCheltenham46128264165-2444
RFleetwood TownFleetwood461013234972-2343
RPort Vale461011254174-3341
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle4679304181-4030


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!