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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
37.44% (![]() | 25.43% (![]() | 37.12% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.21% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.34% (![]() | 47.65% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.15% (![]() | 69.85% (![]() |
Port Vale Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.06% (![]() | 24.94% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.43% (![]() | 59.57% (![]() |
Exeter City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.88% (![]() | 25.12% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.18% (![]() | 59.82% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Port Vale | Draw | Exeter City |
1-0 @ 8.7% (![]() 2-1 @ 8.35% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 6.04% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 3.86% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.8% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.67% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.34% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 0.93% ( ![]() Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.44% | 1-1 @ 12.01% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.26% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.77% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.23% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.65% (![]() 1-2 @ 8.3% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.98% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.82% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.75% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.66% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.32% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnsley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Blackpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Bristol Rovers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Burton Albion | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Crawley TownCrawley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Exeter CityExeter | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Leyton Orient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Reading | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Stevenage | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
21 | Stockport CountyStockport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
22 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
23 | Wrexham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
24 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
> League One Full Table |