League One

League One | Gameweek 44

Apr 13, 2024 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
2 - 4
Exeter

Chislett (31'), Dipepa (40')
Sang (28')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Alli (57', 89'), Jules (67'), Harris (79')
Alli (7'), Watts (35'), Purrington (41'), Harris (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Port Vale and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Peterborough 3-0 Port Vale
Wednesday, April 10 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Exeter City

All competitions

Last Game: Leyton Orient 2-2 Exeter
Tuesday, April 9 at 7.45pm in League One

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 37.44%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 37.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (6.04%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Exeter City
37.44% ( -0.03)	25.43% ( -0.01)	37.12% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 56.21% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.34% (

0.03)

47.65% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.15% (

0.02)

69.85% (

-0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.06% (

-0)

24.94% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.43% (

-0.01)

59.57% (

0.01)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

0.03)

25.12% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

0.04)

59.82% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 37.44%

Exeter City 37.12%

Draw 25.43%

Port Vale	Draw	Exeter City
1-0 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.35% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.86% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.8% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.34% ( -0) 4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.44%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.43%	0-1 @ 8.65% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0) 0-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) 2-4 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 1.76% Total : 37.12%