AFC Wimbledon
Barnsley
Blackpool
Bolton logo
Bradford City
Burton Albion
Cardiff City logo
Doncaster Rovers
Exeter City
Huddersfield logo
Leyton Orient
Lincoln City
Luton Town
Mansfield Town
Northampton Town
Peterborough United
Plymouth Argyle
Port Vale
Reading logo
Rotherham logo
Stevenage
Stockport County
Wigan logo
Wycombe Wanderers
Championship header 2

League One

Northampton Town
League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 at 2pm UK
Sixfields Stadium
Exeter City

Northampton
1 - 2
Exeter

Guthrie (73')
Guthrie (45')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Harris (20'), Aimson (83')
Woods (44')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Northampton Town and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 2-0 Northampton
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Exeter City

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 2-4 Exeter
Saturday, April 13 at 3pm in League One

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
38.73% (0.061999999999998 0.06)25.62% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)35.65% (-0.058 -0.06)
Both teams to score 55.47% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.45% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)48.55% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.32% (0.0040000000000013 0)70.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Northampton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.34% (0.035999999999987 0.04)24.66% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.82% (0.048000000000002 0.05)59.18% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.63% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)26.37% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.48% (-0.044000000000004 -0.04)61.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Northampton Town 38.73%
    Exeter City 35.65%
    Draw 25.62%
Northampton TownDrawExeter City
1-0 @ 9.1% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-1 @ 1.39% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.04% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 0.93% (0.002 0)
Other @ 1.82%
Total : 38.73%
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.5% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
0-1 @ 8.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.59% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-4 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.65%

How you voted: Northampton vs Exeter

Northampton Town
14.3%
Draw
28.6%
Exeter City
57.1%
7
Head to Head
Sep 30, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 10
Exeter
0-2
Northampton

Jules (8')
Hoskins (20'), Brough (90+2')
Brady (9'), Bowie (34'), Brough (41'), Sherring (44'), Odimayo (62'), Monthe (84')
Apr 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 45
Northampton
1-1
Exeter
Pinnock (29')
Guthrie (87')
Nombe (71')
Dieng (20'), Sparkes (54'), Brown (68'), Collins (88'), Key (90+4')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 20
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Amond (50')
Key (56'), Caprice (78')
Sowerby (34'), Hoskins (74')
McWilliams (35'), Guthrie (71')
> Preview
Dec 8, 2020 7pm
Second Round
Exeter
1-2
Northampton
Atangana (51')
Rose (22'), Ashley-Seal (82')
Rose (40'), Smith (51'), McWilliams (86'), Horsfall (90+2')
Jun 29, 2020 7.30pm
Exeter
0-4
Northampton
> Match Report