League One Gameweek 45
Northampton
Apr 20, 2024 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Sixfields Stadium
Exeter
  • Jon Guthrie 45' yellowcard
  • Jon Guthrie 73' goal
  • goal Luke Harris 20'
  • redcard Ryan Woods 44'
  • goal Will Aimson 83'

Northampton Town vs Exeter City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Northampton Town

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Fleetwood 2 - 0 Northampton
Goals scored
57
Top scorer
Sam Hoskins

Exeter City

All competitions
Last game
Apr 13, 2024 3.00pm
Port Vale 2 - 4 Exeter
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Jack Aitchison

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Northampton Town win with a probability of 38.73%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.65% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Northampton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.37%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Exeter City in this match.

Result

Northampton Town 38.73% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 25.62% ▼ (-0.01)
Exeter City 35.65% ▼ (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.47% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.45% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.55% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.32% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.68% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.2% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.79% ▼ (-0.01)

Northampton Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.34% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 24.66% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 1.5 40.82% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 59.18% ▼ (-0.05)

Exeter City Goals

Over 0.5 73.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 0.5 26.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 1.5 38.48% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 61.52% ▲ (+0.05)

Score analysis

Northampton Town 38.73%
Draw 25.62%
Exeter City 35.65%
Northampton Town
1-0 @ 9.1% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.37% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.97% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.64% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.39% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 38.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.13%
0-0 @ 6.5% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66%
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.62%
Exeter City
0-1 @ 8.67% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 35.65%

Head to Head

League One Gameweek 10
Exeter
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT St James Park
Northampton
  • Zak Jules 8' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Brady 9'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 20'
  • yellowcard Kieron Bowie 34'
  • yellowcard Patrick Brough 41'
  • yellowcard Sam Sherring 44'
  • yellowcard Akin Odimayo 62'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Monthe 84'
  • goal Patrick Brough 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 45
Northampton
Apr 30, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Exeter
  • Mitchell Pinnock 29' goal
  • Jon Guthrie 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timothee Dieng 20'
  • yellowcard Jack Sparkes 54'
  • yellowcard Jevani Brown 68'
  • goal Sam Nombe 71'
  • yellowcard Archie Collins 88'
  • yellowcard Josh Key 90'+4'
League Two Gameweek 20
Exeter
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Northampton
  • Padraig Amond 50' goal
  • Josh Key 56' yellowcard
  • Jake Caprice 78' yellowcard
  • goal Jack Sowerby 34'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 35'
  • yellowcard Jon Guthrie 71'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 74'
EFL Trophy
Exeter
Dec 8, 2020 7.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
Northampton
  • Nigel Atangana 51' goal
  • goal Danny Rose 22'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 40'
  • yellowcard Harry Smith 51'
  • goal Benny Ashley-Seal 82'
  • yellowcard Shaun McWilliams 86'
  • yellowcard Fraser Horsfall 90'+2'
League Two
Exeter
Jun 29, 2020 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Wembley Stadium
Northampton
  • Dean Moxey 59' redcard
  • Aaron Martin 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Scott Wharton 4'
  • goal Ryan Watson 11'
  • goal Callum Morton 31'
  • yellowcard Ryan Watson 54'
  • goal Sam Hoskins 80'
  • goal Andrew Williams 89'
League Two Gameweek 35
Northampton
Feb 22, 2020 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Sixfields Stadium
Exeter
  • Vadaine Oliver 1' goal
  • Sam Hoskins 81' goal
  • Nicky Adams 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Pierce Sweeney 80'

Form Data

Fleetwood 2 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 2 - 0 Carlisle
Northampton 2 - 0 Port Vale
Reading 1 - 0 Northampton
Northampton 1 - 0 Derby
Wycombe 2 - 0 Northampton
Port Vale 2 - 4 Exeter
Leyton Orient 2 - 2 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 0 Stevenage
Cheltenham 1 - 2 Exeter
Exeter 1 - 1 Charlton
Exeter 1 - 0 Burton Albion