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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 10.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 3-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Shrewsbury Town win it was 1-2 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 73.07% ( | 16.18% ( | 10.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 52.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.38% ( | 35.62% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.32% ( | 57.68% ( |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.57% ( | 8.43% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 70.72% ( | 29.28% ( |
| Shrewsbury Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.95% ( | 43.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.66% ( | 79.34% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Shrewsbury Town |
| 2-0 @ 11.1% ( 2-1 @ 9.36% 3-0 @ 9.15% ( 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 3-1 @ 7.71% ( 4-0 @ 5.66% 4-1 @ 4.77% ( 3-2 @ 3.25% ( 5-0 @ 2.8% 5-1 @ 2.36% ( 4-2 @ 2.01% ( 6-0 @ 1.15% 5-2 @ 0.99% ( 6-1 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.8% Total : 73.07% | 1-1 @ 7.57% ( 2-2 @ 3.94% ( 0-0 @ 3.63% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% Other @ 0.13% Total : 16.18% | 1-2 @ 3.19% 0-1 @ 3.06% ( 0-2 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 2.11% Total : 10.75% |