League One Gameweek 45
Apr 20, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Paris Maghoma 70' yellowcard
  • Dion Charles 70' yellowcard
  • Aaron Collins 72' goal
  • Eoin Toal 79' yellowcard
  • Cameron Jerome 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Garrity 70'

Bolton Wanderers vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Bolton 2 - 2 Shrewsbury
Goals scored
91
Top scorer
Dion Charles

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Apr 16, 2024 7.45pm
Port Vale 1 - 2 Wycombe
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Ben Garrity

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 73.65%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 10.35%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.51%), while for a Port Vale win it was 1-2 (3.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result

Bolton Wanderers 73.65% (+0.04)
Draw 16% (-0.02)
Port Vale 10.35% (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.29% (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 64.05% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 35.95% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 41.96% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 58.04% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 23.73% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 76.26% (-0.04)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 91.62% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 8.38% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 70.84% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 29.16% (-0.05)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 55.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 44.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 19.87% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 80.13% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bolton Wanderers 73.64%
Draw 16%
Port Vale 10.35%
Bolton Wanderers
2-0 @ 11.33%
3-0 @ 9.37% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.3% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.15% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 7.69% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 5.81% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 4.77% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.16% (+0.01)
5-0 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
5-1 @ 2.36% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.96% (+0.01)
6-0 @ 1.19% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.7%
Total : 73.64%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.51% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 3.69% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 16%
Port Vale
1-2 @ 3.08% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 3.03% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.24% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 10.35%

Head to Head

EFL Trophy
Dec 5, 2023 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Dion Charles 9' goal
  • George Thomason 60' yellowcard
  • Carlos Mendes Gomes 64' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Iacovitti 57'
League One Gameweek 10
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Vale Park
  • Alex Iacovitti 3' yellowcard
  • Kofi Balmer 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Dion Charles 43'
  • yellowcard Jack Iredale 64'
  • yellowcard Aaron Morley 68'
  • yellowcard Josh Sheehan 76'
League One Gameweek 34
Feb 25, 2023 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT University of Bolton Stadium
  • Victor Adeboyejo 18' goal
  • Josh Sheehan 26' goal
  • goal Ellis Harrison 8'
League One Gameweek 3
Aug 13, 2022 3.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • William Forrester 45'+2' yellowcard
  • C 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ricardo Santos 10'
  • redcard Ricardo Santos 37'
  • yellowcard Jordan Williams 49'
EFL Trophy
Aug 31, 2021 7.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Eoin Doyle 28' goal
  • Nathan Delfouneso 54' goal
  • Nathan Delfouneso 67' yellowcard
  • Ricardo Santos 75' yellowcard
  • Oladapo Afolayan 77' goal
  • Alex Baptiste 81' yellowcard
  • Harry Brockbank 90' yellowcard
  • goal Tom Conlon 35'
  • goal David Amoo 43'
League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 13, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
  • Zak Mills 70' yellowcard
  • Leon Legge 79' yellowcard
  • goal Gethin Jones 63'
  • yellowcard Matt Gilks 89'