Club Friendlies 3
Jul 23, 2024 7.30pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT The Chorley Group Victory Park Stadium
  • goal Aaron Morley 5'
  • goal Jack Sampson 47' (OG)
  • goal Nelson Khumbeni 49'
  • goal Victor Adeboyejo 69'

Chorley vs Bolton Wanderers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chorley

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 19, 2024 7.30pm
Chorley 0 - 0 Wigan

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 20, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 3 - 0 Bolton

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Chorley win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result

Chorley 17.84% (-0.02)
Draw 21.97% (+0.01)
Bolton Wanderers 60.19% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.23% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.52% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 46.48% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 31.24% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.76% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.53% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.47% (+0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5 60.28% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 39.72% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 23.6% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 76.4% (+0.05)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5 84.99% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 15.01% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 56.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 43.48% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Chorley 17.84%
Draw 21.97%
Bolton Wanderers 60.18%
Chorley
1-0 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 4.82% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 2.54% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 17.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.44% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.96% (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 21.97%
Bolton Wanderers
0-1 @ 11.3% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 10.72% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 6.78% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 6.26% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 3.21% (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.97% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
0-5 @ 1.22%
1-5 @ 1.13% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 60.18%

Head to Head

Pre-Season Friendlies
Jul 8, 2017 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Terry Gornell 3' goal
  • Marcus Carver 18' goal
  • goal Chris Taylor 59'
  • goal Hayden White 67'
  • goal Harry Brockbank 76'