Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 60.19%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Chorley had a probability of 17.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.72%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Chorley win it was 1-0 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Chorley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
17.84% ( -0.01)	21.97% ( 0)	60.19% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.23% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.52% (

-0.04)

46.48% (

0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.24% (

-0.04)

68.76% (

0.04)

Chorley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.28% (

-0.04)

39.72% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.6% (

-0.04)

76.4% (

0.04)

Bolton Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.99% (

-0)

15.01% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.52% (

-0.02)

43.48% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Chorley 17.84%

Bolton Wanderers 60.18%

Draw 21.97%

Chorley	Draw	Bolton Wanderers
1-0 @ 5.51% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.82% ( -0) 2-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.41% ( -0) Other @ 2.09% Total : 17.84%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.99% Total : 21.97%	0-1 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 10.72% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 6.78% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.26% ( -0) 0-4 @ 3.21% ( 0) 1-4 @ 2.97% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.89% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.37% ( -0) 0-5 @ 1.22% 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 60.18%