National League North
Apr 28, 2024 at 3pm UK
St James Park
Chorley

Brackley Town
1 - 0
Chorley

Calder (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the National League North clash between Brackley Town and Chorley.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brackley Town

All competitions
Last Game: Blyth Spartans 1-5 Brackley Town
Saturday, April 20 at 3pm in National League North

Chorley

All competitions
Last Game: Chorley 0-0 Curzon Ashton (4-2 pen.)
Wednesday, April 24 at 7.45pm in National League North

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brackley Town win with a probability of 42.57%. A win for Chorley had a probability of 29.67% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brackley Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.48%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Chorley win was 0-1 (9.99%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brackley Town in this match.

Result
Brackley TownDrawChorley
42.57% (-0.204 -0.2)27.76% (0.142 0.14)29.67% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Both teams to score 47.05% (-0.361 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.49% (-0.475 -0.48)58.5% (0.47499999999999 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.91% (-0.37 -0.37)79.08% (0.372 0.37)
Brackley Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.32899999999999 -0.33)27.18% (0.33 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.432 -0.43)62.59% (0.433 0.43)
Chorley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.61% (-0.20400000000001 -0.2)35.38% (0.204 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.85% (-0.214 -0.21)72.15% (0.21499999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Brackley Town 42.56%
    Chorley 29.67%
    Draw 27.75%
Brackley TownDrawChorley
1-0 @ 12.52% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 8.48% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
2-0 @ 8.16% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.68% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-0 @ 3.54% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.91% (-0.041 -0.04)
4-1 @ 1.2% (-0.03 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.15% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 42.56%
1-1 @ 13.01% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 9.62% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.75%
0-1 @ 9.99% (0.124 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.8% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.53% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 29.67%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Brackley Town
1-0
Chorley
Roberts (7')
Aug 5, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 1
Chorley
1-1
Brackley Town
Ellis (61')
Bates (41')
Roberts (90+2')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 32
Brackley Town
1-1
Chorley
Amantchi (34' pen.)
Hall (51')
Sep 3, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 7
Chorley
0-0
Brackley Town
Jan 22, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 23
Brackley Town
0-0
Chorley